South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction 11/15/25 College Football Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction for this College Football Week 12 game on Saturday, November 15^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Preview

Louisiana-Monroe has a 3-6 record this season and is sitting 12th in the Sun Belt. They are 2-7-0 ATS, 5-4-0 in Over/Under and have a 2-2 home record and a 1-4 away record. Louisiana-Monroe is coming off a 6-31 home loss against Old Dominion and will face Texas State and Louisiana next.

Offensively, Louisiana-Monroe averages 16.0 points per game, ranking 131st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 32.9 points per game, which is 122nd. Louisiana-Monroe averages 320.4 total yards per game (151.8 passing and 168.7 rushing), while allowing 388.4 total yards per game (146.4 rushing and 242.0 passing).

Aiden Armenta leads Louisiana-Monroe with 1,070 passing yards with 56.5% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Braylon McReynolds leads the team in rushing yards with 487, while Nic Trujillo has a team-high 16 receptions for 206 receiving yards. Defensively, Noah Flemmings has a team-high 51 total tackles (25 of them solo), while D’Arco Perkins-Mcallister leads the team in sacks, with 4.

South Alabama Jaguars Preview

South Alabama has a 2-7 record this season and is sitting 13th in the Sun Belt. They are 3-6-0 ATS, 6-3-0 in Over/Under and have a 1-4 home record and a 1-3 away record. South Alabama is coming off a 22-31 home loss against Louisiana and will face Southern Mississippi and Texas State next.

Offensively, South Alabama averages 24.9 points per game, ranking 87th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 29.7 points per game, which is 102nd. South Alabama averages 377.4 total yards per game (185.4 passing and 192.0 rushing), while allowing 379.1 total yards per game (190.6 rushing and 188.6 passing).

Bishop Davenport leads South Alabama with 1,664 passing yards with 66.1% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. Kentrel Bullock leads the team in rushing yards with 729, while Devin Voisin has a team-high 50 receptions for 654 receiving yards. Defensively, Blayne Myrick has a team-high 60 total tackles (29 of them solo), while Tyler Thomas leads the team in sacks, with 2, and Nehemiah Chandler has a team-high 2 interceptions.

South Alabama Jaguars @ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Betting Trends: Week 12

Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win

• South Alabama has lost four of its last five games as a favorite.
• The underdog has won three of South Alabama’s last four games.
• South Alabama has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight November games as a favorite.
• The underdog has covered the spread in seven of South Alabama’s last nine games.

Why the South Alabama Jaguars will win

• Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 12 games in November.
• The favorite has won each of Louisiana-Monroe’s last seven games at Malone Stadium.
• Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in each of its last nine home games in November.
• The favorite has covered the spread in six of Louisiana-Monroe’s last seven games at Malone Stadium.
• Louisiana-Monroe has lost the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last four games between South Alabama and Louisiana-Monroe have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of South Alabama’s last seven games as a favorite against Louisiana-Monroe have gone OVER the total points line.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Zachary Palmer-Smith ranks 36th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (6.1) this season.

South Alabama Jaguars Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Kentrel Bullock ranks 1st in the Sun Belt Conference for rushing attempts (160) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Louisiana-Monroe ranks 132nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (68.2).
• Louisiana-Monroe ranks 131st among FBS teams for points per game this season (16.0).
• South Alabama ranks 135th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (83.3).
• South Alabama ranks T134th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (97.1).

South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction

In this South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe Prediction, South Alabama is coming as -4-point road favorites, with the total set at 49.5 points. Both teams been terrible this season and are both coming into this matchup in poor form, as Louisiana-Monroe has five consecutive losses and South Alabama is 1-7 in its last 8 games, so I see no value on either side. Both teams have been playing some high-scoring games lately, as they are 5-2 to the over in their last 7 games combined and both of their defenses have been struggling, allowing 62.6 points per game combined. Take the over 49.5 in this one.