UL Monroe Warhawks (0-4) vs. South Alabama Jaguars (2-2)
October 3, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: South Alabama Jaguars -14.5 / UL Monroe Warhawks +14.5; Over/Under: 56.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks and the South Alabama Jaguars meet in week 5 college football action from Hancock Whitney Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Louisiana Monroe Warhawks vs. South Alabama Jaguars Prediction.
Louisiana Monroe Warhawks Recap
The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks come into this game looking to bounce back from a 45-17 loss at the hands of FAU last time out to sit at 0-4 this season. After this game, ULM will take on Louisiana Tech at home.
Warhawks Looking For First Win
Austin Carlisle has thrown for 312 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions on 68.6% passing while also leading UL Monroe in rushing with 219 rushing yards and 1 touchdown so far this season. Bryson Roland sits behind Carlisle on the ground with 127 yards and 1 TD. Marcellus Jackson leads the Warhawks in receiving with 109 yards on 12 catches, while Parker Fulghum trails with 96 yards on 7 catches along with 1 touchdown. On defense, Noah Flemmings has a team-high 25 total tackles, while Carl Fauntroy, Taijh Overton, James Smith, and LuZavier Arnes each lead the team with 1 sack. Carl Fauntroy recorded the team’s lone interception. UL Monroe’s defense as a whole has combined for 4 sacks and 1 interception so far this season.
South Alabama Jaguars Recap
The South Alabama Jaguars come into this game looking to bounce back from a 45-21 loss at the hands of Kentucky last time out to sit at 2-2 this season. After this game, South Alabama will head on the road for a game against Arkansas State.
Jaguars Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Jared Hollins has thrown for 458 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 57.1% passing while PJ Martin leads South Alabama in rushing with 270 yards and 4 touchdowns through 4 games this season. Keenan Phillips sits behind Martin on the ground with 245 yards and 1 TD. Jeremiah Jones-Thomas leads the Jaguars in receiving with 236 yards and 19 catches along with 1 TD, while Brendan Jenkins trails with 228 yards and 17 catches. On defense, Cole Blaylock has a team-high 29 tackles while South Alabama’s defense as a whole has combined for 7 sacks and 3 interceptions through 4 games this season.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks @ South Alabama Jaguars Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the South Alabama Jaguars will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 14 road games in October.
- The home team has won each of South Alabama’s last six games.
- Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games in October.
- South Alabama has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against teams from Louisiana.
- The home team has won the first half in each of South Alabama’s last seven games.
- The home team has won the first quarter in six of South Alabama’s last seven games.
Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win
- The underdog has won four of South Alabama’s last six games at Hancock Whitney Stadium.
- South Alabama has lost four of its last six games as a favorite in Alabama.
- The road team has covered the spread in seven of Louisiana-Monroe’s last eight games.
- South Alabama has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as a favorite in Alabama.
- Louisiana-Monroe has won the first half in four of its last five games against South Alabama.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Louisiana-Monroe’s last 10 October games as a road underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last four October games between Louisiana-Monroe and South Alabama have gone OVER the total points line.
South Alabama Jaguars Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, PJ Martin ranks T2nd in the Sun Belt Conference for rushing touchdowns (4) this season.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Marcellus Jackson ranks 2nd in the Sun Belt Conference for receptions (21) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- South Alabama ranks 5th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (34:40).
- South Alabama ranks 130th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (200.0).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 138th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (42.8).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 138th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (18.8).
Louisiana Monroe Warhawks vs. South Alabama Jaguars Prediction
I’m on South Alabama here. I just think South Alabama is the far better team here with a defense that’s been taking over in their wins even though the defense has been shaky as of late. ULM doesn’t have the horses offensively to hang with a lot of teams they’re going up against, and I think South Alabama wins this game comfortably so give me the Jaguars here.
