College Football

Southern Miss vs South Alabama Prediction 11-23-24 College Football Picks

South Alabama Jaguars (5-5) vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-9)
November 23, 2024 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +22.5 / South Alabama Jaguars -22.5; Over/Under: +55.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The South Alabama Jaguars and the Southern Miss Golden Eagles meet Saturday in college football action from Roberts Stadium. Here’s a Southern Miss vs South Alabama prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Southern Miss vs South Alabama pick.

South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview

The Jaguars lost their first two games this year but recovered with wins over Northwestern State and App State. Following losses to LSU and Arkansas State, south Alabama beat Troy and LA-Monroe before another loss to Georgia Southern.


In their last outing versus Louisiana, the Jags were outscored 19-0 in the second half but managed to hang on for the win 24-22 in the end. Gio Lopez threw for 285 yards and an interception but did have two rush scores. Jamaal Pritchett caught 11 balls for 170 yards as the lead receiver.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Preview

Over on the Southern Miss side, they won just one of their first nine games (SE Louisiana). Otherwise, it was losses to Kentucky, USF, Jacksonville State, Louisiana, LA-Monroe, Arkansas State, James Madison, and Marshall to start the season.

On Saturday in the Texas State game, the Eagles were down 34-3 by halftime and it only got worse from there in a 58-3 blowout loss. Tate Rodemaker threw for just 63 yards and a pick. Rodrigues Clark led the rush on 15 carries for 66 yards.

Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win

  • South Alabama has lost 19 of its last 23 road games in November.
  • South Alabama has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the South Alabama Jaguars will win

  • Southern Miss has lost each of its last eight games.
  • The favorite has won each of Southern Miss’ last 12 games.
  • Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as a home underdog.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in six of Southern Miss’ last seven games at M. M. Roberts Stadium.
  • Southern Miss has lost the first half in each of its last seven games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of Southern Miss’ last nine November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of South Alabama’s last five November games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.

Southern Miss vs South Alabama Prediction

I’ll stay with South Alabama, but the line’s probably too thick to mess with. The Jaguars skidded to a scoreboard stop in the second half on Saturday but still managed to beat a good Louisiana squad on the road. South Alabama went just 4-of-11 on third downs with two turnovers and eight penalties, so there’s plenty to clean up on offense. The defense held the Cajuns to just 4-of-13 on third-down tries with two takeaways, though.

As for Southern Miss, they’re coming off a rough defeat at the hands of a decent Texas State team. The Eagles coughed up a whopping 703 yards (437 passing), 33 first downs, and 10.7 yards per play in that one. Offensively they could only muster 194 yards (124 rushing) and 2.8 yards per play. Southern Miss has been outscored 85-6 over their last two games, so South Alabama should have every opportunity to post points on Saturday.

Andrew's Free Pick: South Alabama Jaguars -22.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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