Arizona Wildcats (4-6) vs. TCU Horned Frogs (6-4)
November 23, 2024 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: TCU Horned Frogs -11.5 / Arizona Wildcats +11.5; Over/Under: +58.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a TCU vs Arizona prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 23rd at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 13 matchup.
TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview
The TCU Horned Frogs are 6-4 (4-3) this year after they defeated Oklahoma State by a score of 38-13 in their last game. TCU led 24-0 at halftime and they were able to coast to the victory. The Horned Frogs outgained Oklahoma State by a total of 468-368, won the turnover battle 3-0, and went 6-10 on third down in the game. Josh Hoover threw for 286 yards and one touchdown, while JP Richardson caught seven passes for 100 yards in the game.
Prior to that win, the Horned Frogs lost to Baylor by a score of 37-34 but did beat Texas Tech and Utah before that. The TCU offense has scored 33.4 points per game with 329.6 passing yards and 110 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 27.6 points per game this season. Josh Hoover has completed 67.7% of his passes for 3,233 yards, 22 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Jack Bech has caught 56 passes for 982 yards and nine scores.
Arizona Wildcats Betting Preview
The Arizona Wildcats are 4-6 (2-5) this season after they defeated Houston by a score of 27-3 in their last game. Arizona had their lead cut to 7-3 in the second quarter, but they scored the last 20 points in the game for the win. The Wildcats outgained Houston by a total of 337-326, won the turnover battle 3-1, and went 10-17 on third down in the game. Noah Fifita threw for 224 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Quali Conley rushed for 107 yards and one score.
Prior to that win, the Wildcats lost five games in a row and allowed at least 31 points in four of them. The Arizona offense has scored 22.6 points per game with 256.2 passing yards and 114.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 28.3 points per game this season. Noah Fifita has completed 60.8% of his passes for 2,548 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while Quali Conley has rushed for 677 yards and eight scores.
Why TCU will cover
- Arizona has lost each of its last 10 November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- TCU has won each of its last six November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Arizona has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- TCU has covered the spread in seven of its last eight home games in November.
- TCU has won the first quarter in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
- Arizona has lost the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
Why Arizona will cover
- Arizona has won six of its last seven games in November.
- TCU has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The underdog has covered the spread in eight of TCU’s last 10 games.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of TCU’s last eight November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Arizona’s last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- TCU ranks 6th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (329.6).
- TCU ranks T7th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (75.0).
- Arizona ranks T129th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.9).
- Arizona ranks 129th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-6.1).
TCU vs Arizona Prediction
Arizona was able to snap their losing streak with a blowout win over Houston last week, but they need to win their last two games to get to a bowl game. The Wildcats have played poorly on both sides of the ball, but they do have the ability to score points quickly. TCU has won three of their last four games and they have scored at least 34 points in three straight. I don’t have a ton of faith in either defense in this game, so give me the over in this matchup.
