BYU Cougars (3-0) vs. TCU Horned Frogs (2-2)
October 3, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: TCU Horned Frogs +6.5 / BYU Cougars -6.5; Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The BYU Cougars and the TCU Horned Frogs meet in week 5 college football action from Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a BYU Cougars vs. TCU Horned Frogs Prediction.
BYU Cougars Recap
The BYU Cougars come into this game looking to add on to their 41-23 win over Colorado State last time out to sit at 3-0 this season. After this game, BYU will head home for a game against Iowa State.
Cougars Looking To Stay Unbeaten
Bear Bachmeier has thrown for 642 yards, 6 touchdowns and 1 interception on 71.0% passing while LJ Martin leads BYU in rushing with 328 yards and 3 touchdowns so far this season. Journee Tonga sits behind Martin on the ground with 129 yards and 1 TD. Legend Glasker leads the Cougars in receiving with 270 yards and 11 catches along with 2 TDs, while Kyler Kasper trails with 116 yards and 9 catches. On defense, Cade Uluave and Cannon DeVries share a team-high 14 tackles while BYU’s defense as a whole has combined for 4 sacks and 5 interceptions so far this season.
TCU Horned Frogs Recap
The TCU Horned Frogs come into this game looking to shake off a 21-13 loss at the hands of UCF last time out to sit at 2-2 this season. After this game, TCU will head on the road for a game against Baylor.
Horned Frogs Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
Jaden Craig has thrown for 1,213 yards, 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 68.2% passing while Jeremy Payne leads TCU in rushing with 355 yards and 2 touchdowns so far this season. Jon Denman sits behind Payne on the ground with 57 yards and 2 TDs. Ed Small leads the Horned Frogs in receiving with 371 yards and 24 catches along with 1 TD, while Kari Ashley trails with 266 yards and 19 catches. On defense, Jamel Johnson has a team-high 22 tackles while TCU’s defense as a whole has combined for 9 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.
BYU Cougars @ TCU Horned Frogs Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win
- TCU has won 11 of its last 12 games in Texas.
- BYU has lost four of its last five games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
- TCU has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games in Texas.
- BYU has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
- TCU has won the first quarter in four of its last five games in Texas.
- TCU has won the first half in each of its last five games in Texas.
Why the BYU Cougars will win
- BYU has won each of its last 14 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- TCU has lost each of its last four games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of BYU’s last nine games.
- TCU has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five October games as a home underdog.
- TCU has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
- BYU has won the first quarter in four of its last five games in Texas.
Total Points Facts
- Each of BYU’s last six October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of TCU’s last nine games as an underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
TCU Horned Frogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Jaden Craig ranks 6th amongst FBS players for passing yards (1213) this season.
BYU Cougars Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Legend Glasker ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (24.5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- TCU ranks T2nd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (2.5).
- TCU ranks T4th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.8).
- BYU ranks 3rd among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (61.3).
- BYU ranks T4th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (14.0).
BYU Cougars vs. TCU Horned Frogs Prediction
I’m on TCU and the points in this one. I just think this has the makings of a tight game that finishes within one score, as I think TCU is better than what they’ve shown and this is a tricky spot for BYU in their first road game of the season. I think this is a 3-4 point game so give me the Horned Frogs and the points in this one.
