Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-6) vs. TCU Horned Frogs (5-4)
November 9, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: TCU Horned Frogs -11.5 / Oklahoma State Cowboys +11.5; Over/Under: +64.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma State Cowboys and TCU Horned Frogs meet Saturday in week 11 college football action at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Here’s a TCU vs Oklahoma State Prediction. This article will include a TCU vs Oklahoma State Pick.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Preview
The Oklahoma State Cowboys lost to Arizona State and Baylor, and they play Texas Tech next. Oklahoma State has lost 3 straight road games. Alan Bowman is completing 60 percent of his passes for 2,272 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. De’Zhaun Stribling and Brennan Presley have combined for 1,240 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Rashod Owens has 26 receptions.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys ground game is averaging 108.2 yards per contest, and Ollie Gordon II leads the way with 593 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Oklahoma State is allowing 31.3 points and 503.1 yards per game. Trey Rucker leads the Oklahoma State Cowboys with 77 tackles, Obi Ezeigbo has 3 sacks and Korie Black has 3 interceptions.
TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview
The TCU Horned Frogs beat Texas Tech, lost to Baylor, and they play Arizona next. TCU Horned Frogs have split their last 4 home games. Josh Hoover is completing 67.1 percent of his passes for 2,947 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Jack Bech and Savion Williams have combined for 1,451 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns, while Eric McAlister has 22 receptions.
The TCU Horned Frogs ground game is averaging 102.8 yards per contest, and Cam Cook leads the way with 367 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, TCU is allowing 29.2 points and 357.6 yards per game. Johnny Hodges leads the TCU Horned Frogs with 66 tackles, Devean Deal has 4.5 sacks and Tymon Mitchell has 1 interception.
Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win
- Oklahoma State has lost each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- TCU has won 17 of its last 18 November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oklahoma State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
- TCU has covered the spread in each of its last four home games in November.
- Oklahoma State has lost the first half in eight of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Oklahoma State’s last nine road games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of TCU’s last seven November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- TCU ranks 5th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (333.7).
- TCU ranks 124th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (102.8).
- Oklahoma State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (503.1).
- Oklahoma State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (248.1).
TCU vs Oklahoma State Prediction
I’m not running to the window to back either of these teams. Oklahoma State has covered 5 of its last 8 games as a double-digit underdog. The TCU Horned Frogs are 2-7 ATS on the season, and they’re 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a double-digit favorite. The underdog has covered 6 of the last 8 games between Oklahoma State and TCU. If forced to pick a side, I’m rolling with Oklahoma State and the points.
