Tennessee vs UTEP Prediction 11-23-24 College Football Picks
UTEP Miners (2-8) vs. Tennessee Volunteers (8-2)
November 23, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tennessee Volunteers -41.5 / UTEP Miners +41.5; Over/Under: +53.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The UTEP Miners and Tennessee Volunteers meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at Neyland Stadium. Here’s a Tennessee vs UTEP Prediction. This article will include a Tennessee vs UTEP Pick.
UTEP Miners Betting Preview
The UTEP Miners recently lost to Middle Tennessee, beat Kennesaw State, and they play New Mexico State next. The UTEP Miners have lost 6 straight road games. Skyler Locklear is completing 67 percent of his passes for 1,356 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Kenny Odom and Kam Thomas have combined for 1,084 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Trey Goodman has 40 receptions.
The UTEP Miners ground game is averaging 124.7 yards per contest, and Jevon Jackson leads the way with 650 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, UTEP is allowing 29.7 points and 382.7 yards per game. Nate Dyman leads the UTEP Miners with 73 tackles, Maurice Westmoreland has 4.5 sacks and Amier Boyd-Matthews has 2 interceptions.
Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers beat Mississippi State, lost to Georgia, and they play Vanderbilt next. Tennessee has won 7 straight home games. Nico Iamaleava is completing 64.6 percent of his passes for 2,046 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Dont’e Thornton Jr. and Bru McCoy have combined for 900 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Squirrel White has 31 receptions.
The Tennessee Volunteers ground game is averaging 226.8 yards per contest, and Dylan Sampson leads the way with 1,230 yards and 21 touchdowns. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 14.4 points and 289.7 yards per game. Arion Carter leads the Tennessee Volunteers with 54 tackles, James Pearce Jr. has 5.5 sacks and Will Brooks has 3 interceptions.
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won each of its last 19 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Neyland Stadium.
- UTEP has lost each of its last 10 road games in November.
- Tennessee has covered the spread in 12 of its last 13 games against non-conference opponents.
- UTEP has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against non-conference opponents.
- Tennessee has won the first quarter in 19 of its last 20 games against non-conference opponents at Neyland Stadium.
- Tennessee has won the first half in each of its last 13 games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of UTEP’s last 11 road games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of Tennessee’s last seven November home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Tennessee ranks 2nd among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (5.3).
- Tennessee ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.6).
- UTEP ranks 132nd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.8).
- UTEP ranks 132nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (68.0).
Tennessee vs UTEP Prediction
The Tennessee Volunteers should be eager to take out some frustration after that Georgia loss, and poor little UTEP is in the way. The UTEP Miners are 121st in scoring offense and 99th in scoring defense. Yes, this line is ridiculous, but Tennessee is also 2-0 ATS this season when favorites of 30 or more points. The Vols won those two games by an average of 68.5 points. Tennessee has covered 6 of its last 7 games overall when favorites of 30 or more points. I have no choice but to lay the points with Tennessee.