College Football

Texas State vs UTSA Prediction 9-7-24 College Football Picks

UTSA Roadrunners (1-0) vs. Texas State Bobcats (1-0)
September 7, 2024 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas State Bobcats -2.5 / UTSA Roadrunners +2.5; Over/Under: +60.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The UTSA Roadrunners and Texas State Bobcats meet Saturday in week 2 college football action at Bobcat Stadium. Here’s a Texas State vs UTSA Prediction. This article will include a Texas State vs UTSA Pick.

UTSA Roadrunners Betting Preview

The UTSA Roadrunners beat Kennesaw State opening week and play Texas and Houston Christian next. UTSA looks for its first 2-0 start since 2021 when it started the season 11-0. Owen McCown is completing 73.7 percent of his passes for 340 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Devin McCuin and Robert Henry have combined for 140 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Willie McCoy has 4 receptions.

The UTSA Roadrunners ground game is averaging 76 yards per contest, and Henry leads the way with 30 yards on 6 carries. Defensively, UTSA is allowing 16 points and 253 yards per game. Ken Robinson leads the UTSA Roadrunners with 7 tackles, Martavius French has 1 sack and Owen Pewee has 1 pass deflection.

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats beat Lamar opening week and play Arizona State and Sam Houston next. Texas State looks for its first 2-0 start since the 2013 season. Jordan McCloud is completing 70 percent of his passes for 238 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Joey Hobert and Jaden Williams have combined for 160 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Kole Wilson has 7 receptions.

The Texas State Bobcats ground game is averaging 213 yards per contest, and Ismail Mahdi leads the way with 156 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Texas State is allowing 27 points and 288 yards per game. Jordan Polk leads the Texas State Bobcats with 7 tackles, Ben Bell has 1.5 sacks and Joshua Eaton has 1 pass deflection.

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

  • The favorite has won each of UTSA’s last 11 games.
  • UTSA has lost each of its last five games as an underdog.
  • UTSA has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games against non-conference opponents.
  • Texas State has covered the spread in four of its last five September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas State has won the first half in five of its last six home games against non-conference opponents.
  • Texas State has won the first quarter in four of its last five home games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of UTSA’s last four road openers as an underdog has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Three of Texas State’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • Texas State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • UTSA ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 win percentage this season (1.000).
  • UTSA ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage this season (1.000).

Texas State vs UTSA Prediction

The UTSA Roadrunners are probably the more complete team on paper, and that’s why this line is so soft. It’s also worth taking a look at UTSA and the points. With that said, this has a chance to be a special season for Texas State as the Bobcats could win the Sun Belt and this offense has ridiculous potential. From McCloud at quarterback and explosiveness at the skill positions, Texas State is going to be tough to stop.

Still questions about that Texas State defense, but it may not matter most weeks. I expect Bobcat Stadium to be rocking and for Texas State to put on a show. I’ll lay the small number with the Bobcats at home, as I’m fairly high on this squad.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Texas State Bobcats -2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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