Florida Gators (4-4) vs. Texas Longhorns (7-1)
November 9, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Longhorns -21 / Florida Gators +21; Over/Under: +52.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Florida Gators and the Texas Longhorns will meet Saturday in college football action from Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Texas vs Florida prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Texas vs Florida pick.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Gators’ year started off on a 1-2 run with losses to Miami and Texas A&M sandwiched around a win over Samford. The Gators beat Mississippi State, UCF, and Kentucky with a loss to Tennessee in a 3-1 stretch over the next four games.
In the Georgia matchup last weekend, the Gators held a 13-6 edge by halftime. Florida was outscored 28-7 the rest of the way however and lost 34-20. QB Aidan Warner finished with 66 yards and a pick. Ja’Kobi Jackson led the rush with 12 carries for 74 yards and a score.
Texas Longhorns Betting Preview
Over on the Texas side, they hit a nice 6-0 run out of the gate with wins over Colorado State, Michigan, UTSA, LA-Monroe, Mississippi State, and Oklahoma. The Longhorns took their first loss to a tough Georgia team 30-15, then beat Vanderbilt the next weekend.
In the October 26 matchup with Vanderbilt, the Longhorns scored points in every quarter—and gave up points in every quarter—on the way to a tight win 27-24. QB Quinn Ewers escaped with 288 yards, three TDs, and two picks. DeAndre Moore caught six balls for 97 yards and two scores.
Why the Texas Longhorns will win
- Texas has won each of its last 17 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida has lost each of its last seven games in November.
- Texas has covered the spread in five of its last six November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Texas has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 games against conference opponents.
- Texas has won the first quarter in six of its last seven games against conference opponents at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has covered the spread in each of its last five games.
- Texas has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.
- Florida has won the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eleven of Florida’s last 12 games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Texas’ last three home games in November has gone OVER the total points line.
Texas vs Florida Prediction
I might try Florida here. The Gators produced a valiant effort in the first half against a great Georgia team over the weekend but ultimately fell short. Florida put up 228 yards (113 passing) and a couple of turnovers in the defeat, going just 3-of-16 on third downs. It was a crash back down to earth after scoring 48 points versus Kentucky.
As for Texas, they’ve had some extra time to rest and prep after a too-close-for-comfort win over Vanderbilt. The Longhorns were outscored 14-6 in the second half of that matchup and posted 10 penalties for 107 yards. Texas should be able to clean things up and look better here, but I think the Gators can get in for a cover if all goes well.
