
Toledo vs Eastern Michigan Prediction Football Picks 11-8-23
Toledo Rockets (8-1) vs Eastern Michigan Eagles (4-5)
2023-11-08 19:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Toledo Rockets -17.5 -- Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Toledo Rockets and Eastern Michigan Eagles do battle Wednesday in week 11 college football MAC-tion from the Glass Bowl.
Eastern Michigan Drops Back-To-Back Games
The Eastern Michigan Eagles come into this game looking to rebound from back-to-back losses after a 45-21 loss to Western Michigan last time out. Austin Smith has thrown for 1,334 yards, 7 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 57.2% passing while Samson Evans has a team-high 425 rushing yards with 8 touchdowns and Jaylon Jackson has 382 rushing yards. Tanner Knue leads EMU with 37 receptions for 371 yards and 3 touchdowns while JB Mitchell III, Hamze El-Zayat and the aforementioned Jackson each have 200+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Joe Sparacio leads EMU with 106 total tackles while Mikah Coleman has a team-high 4 sacks and Bennett Walker has a team-high 3 interceptions.
Eastern Michigan Eagles Team Facts
- The favorite has won each of Eastern Michigan’s last nine games.
- Eastern Michigan has covered the spread in eight of its last nine November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Three of Eastern Michigan’s last four road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Toledo Wins 8th Straight
The Toledo Rockets come into this game trying to keep the win streak going after making it 8 in a row with a 31-13 win over Buffalo last time out. Dequan Finn has thrown for 1,601 yards, 15 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 63.3% passing while also rushing for 489 yards and 5 touchdowns. Peny Boone leads Toledo’s ground attack with 990 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns while Jacquez Stuart has 356 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Junior Vandeross III leads Toledo’s receiving group with 30 grabs for 406 yards while Jerjuan Newton has 30 grabs for 394 yards and a team-high 9 touchdowns. Anthony Torres & Larry Stephens each have 200+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Dallas Gant has a team-high 72 total tackles while Judge Culpepper has a team-high 5 sacks and Maxen Hook has a team-high 3 INTs this season.
Toledo Rockets Team Facts
- Toledo has won each of its last eight games.
- Toledo has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Toledo has won the first quarter in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Toledo has won the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Each of Toledo’s last three games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Toledo rank 24th among FBS teams for points per game this season (34.4).
- Toledo rank T25th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (19.3).
Chris’ Pick
I’m on Toledo here. The Rockets have had a tendency to have to come from behind in a lot of their recent games, but it wasn’t an issue against Buffalo as they came out firing, and I just don’t think the Eagles have the horses to keep up with Toledo here. The Rockets run the ball well which is EMU’s weakness defensively, while the Eagles have one of the worst offensive units in the country. I’m sticking with the case that Toledo should be 9-0 on the year had it not been for a fluky loss to Illinois in the opener. I’ll take Toledo laying the points.