South Alabama Jaguars (1-4) vs. Troy Trojans (2-2)
October 4, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Troy Trojans -2.5 / South Alabama Jaguars 2.5; Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The South Alabama Jaguars and Troy Trojans meet Saturday in college football action at Veterans Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Troy vs South Alabama Prediction. This article will include a Troy vs South Alabama Pick.
South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview
The South Alabama Jaguars lost to Coastal Carolina and North Texas, and they play Arkansas State next. South Alabama has lost 4 straight games. Bishop Davenport is completing 64.2 percent of his passes for 959 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Devin Voisin and Anthony Eager have combined for 612 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Miller McCrumby has 9 receptions.
The South Alabama Jaguars ground game is averaging 190 yards per contest, and Kentrel Bullock leads the way with 410 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, South Alabama is allowing 31.8 points and 358.4 yards per game. Christopher Wallace Jr. leads the South Alabama Jaguars with 35 tackles, Tyler Thomas has 2 sacks and Wesley Miller has 1 interception.
Troy Trojans Betting Preview
The Troy Trojans lost to Memphis, beat Buffalo, and play Texas State next. Troy has split its last 10 games. Goose Crowder is completing 60.3 percent of his passes for 374 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Roman Mothershed and Rara Thomas have combined for 267 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Tray Taylor has 9 receptions.
The Troy Trojans ground game is averaging 138.3 yards per contest, and Tae Meadows leads the way with 337 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Troy is allowing 23 points and 318.3 yards per game. Jordan Stringer leads the Troy Trojans with 34 tackles, Donnie Smith has 2 sacks and Jaquez White has 1 interception.
South Alabama Jaguars @ Troy Trojans Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the Troy Trojans will win
- South Alabama has lost each of its last 10 games as an underdog in Alabama.
- Troy has won seven of its last eight games against teams from Alabama.
- South Alabama has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as an underdog against teams from Alabama.
- Troy has covered the spread in each of its last five games as a favorite against South Alabama.
- Troy has won the first half in seven of its last eight home games against conference opponents.
Why the South Alabama Jaguars will win
- South Alabama has won three of its last four road games against conference opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of Troy’s last four games.
- South Alabama has won the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of South Alabama’s last seven games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of Troy’s last nine games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
Troy Trojans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Evan Crenshaw ranks 6th amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (49.0) this season.
South Alabama Jaguars Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Kentrel Bullock leads the Sun Belt Conference for touchdowns (5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Troy ranks T133rd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (0.8).
- Troy ranks T132nd among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-7.0).
- South Alabama ranks 135th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (87.5).
- South Alabama ranks 125th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (198.8).
Troy vs South Alabama Prediction
South Alabama is a bad team on both sides of the ball, and I doubt things improve on the road. Troy has issues of its own, especially offensively, where it’s 128th in total offense and 112th in scoring offense. However, Troy has had an extra week to prepare and that’s a major advantage and spots I like to take advantage of. Troy has covered 9 of its last 14 games as a favorite. I’m not excited to back either of these teams, but Troy is at home with the rest advantage, and we’re not being asked to lay anything crazy. Give me Troy and the small chalk.
