Fresno State Bulldogs (6-5) vs. UCLA Bruins (4-7)
November 30, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: UCLA Bruins -8 / Fresno State Bulldogs +8; Over/Under: +46.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Fresno State Bulldogs and UCLA Bruins meet Saturday in week 14 college football action at the Rose Bowl. Here’s a UCLA vs Fresno State Prediction. This article will include a UCLA vs Fresno State Pick.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Fresno State Bulldogs lost to Air Force and beat Colorado State. The Fresno State Bulldogs have lost 3 of their last 5 road games. Mikey Keene is completing 70.6 percent of his passes for 2,673 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. Mac Dalena and Jalen Moss have combined for 1,449 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Raylen Sharpe has 47 receptions.
The Fresno State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 116 yards per contest, and Elijah Gilliam leads the way with 465 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Fresno State is allowing 26.6 points and 343 yards per game. Tuasivi Nomura leads the Fresno State Bulldogs with 90 tackles, Phoenix Jackson has 3 sacks and Cam Lockridge has 5 interceptions.
UCLA Bruins Betting Preview
The UCLA Bruins recently lost to Washington and USC. UCLA has lost 4 of its last 5 home games. Ethan Garbers is completing 64.7 percent of his passes for 2,438 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. Moliki Matavao and T.J. Harden have combined for 759 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while J.Michael Sturdivant has 20 receptions.
The UCLA Bruins ground game is averaging 60.3 yards per contest, and Harden leads the way with 482 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, UCLA is allowing 29.7 points and 387.3 yards per game. Carson Schwesinger leads the UCLA Bruins with 121 tackles, Oluwafemi Oladejo has 4.5 sacks and Kain Medrano has 2 interceptions.
Why the UCLA Bruins will win
- UCLA has won seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents at Rose Bowl.
- Fresno State has lost five of its last six games in November.
- Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UCLA has covered the spread in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
- UCLA has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
- Fresno State has lost the first half in each of its last six games against opponents from the Big Ten Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UCLA’s last six November home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Fresno State’s last five November road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- UCLA ranks 132nd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.6).
- UCLA ranks T130th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (87.7).
- Fresno State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-6.0).
- Fresno State ranks T127th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (4.3).
UCLA vs Fresno State Prediction
The UCLA Bruins should get the benefit of the doubt at home and its senior night for a roster that has 41 seniors. However, this is a lot of points for a UCLA team that’s not great and has scored 20 or fewer points in 9 of its 11 games. You can argue the Fresno State Bulldogs are the better team overall, and they’ve been competitive lately, even in losses. This line is showing UCLA too much respect. Give me Fresno State and the points.
