UCLA vs Michigan State Prediction 10/11/25 College Football Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a UCLA vs Michigan State Prediction for this College Football Week 7 game on Saturday, October 11^th at the Spartan Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Michigan State Spartans Preview

The Michigan State Spartans have a 3-2 record this season and are sitting on the 14th place of the Big Ten. They are 2-3 ATS, 4-1 in Over/Under and have a 0-2 away record and 3-0 home record. The Spartans are coming off a 27-38 away loss against Nebraska and are playing Indiana and Michigan next.

Offensively, the Spartans average 32.8 points per game, which ranks 51st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 30.6 points per game, which is 114th. Michigan State averages 347.4 total yards per game, with 140 rushing yards and 207.4 passing yards per game. They allow 359.4 total yards per game, with 109.8 rushing and 249.6 passing yards per game.

Aidan Chiles leads the Spartans with 953 passing yards and 63.2% completed passes, adding 9 touchdowns. Makhi Frazier leads the team in rushing yards, with 325, and two touchdowns, while Nick Marsh has a team-high 22 caught passes for 326 receiving yards, and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Jordan Hall has a team-high 38 total tackles, 21 of them solo. Jordan Hall leads the Spartans in sacks, with two, while Jordan Hall, Wayne Matthews, and Armorion Smith each have one interception.

UCLA Bruins Preview

The UCLA Bruins have a 1-4 record this season and are sitting on the 13th place of the Big Ten. They are 2-3 ATS, 2-3 in Over/Under and have a 0-2 away record and 1-2 home record. The Bruins are coming off a 42-37 home win against Penn State and are playing Maryland and Indiana next.

Offensively, the Bruins average 19.8 points per game, which ranks 115th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 32.4 points per game, which is 124th. UCLA averages 344 total yards per game, with 153.2 rushing yards and 190.8 passing yards per game. They allow 392.8 total yards per game, with 217.6 rushing and 175.2 passing yards per game.

Nico Iamaleava leads the Bruins with 954 passing yards and 66.2% completed passes, adding 6 touchdowns. Nico Iamaleava leads the team in rushing yards, with 332, and 4 touchdowns, while Kwazi Gilmer has a team-high 24 caught passes for 304 receiving yards, and two touchdowns. Defensively, JonJon Vaughns has a team-high 54 total tackles, 21 of them solo. Anthony Jones leads the Bruins in sacks, with 1.5.

UCLA Bruins @ Michigan State Spartans Betting Trends: Week 7

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

• Michigan State has won eight of its last nine home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UCLA has lost each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UCLA has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Michigan State has covered the spread in four of its last five October home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Michigan State has won the first quarter in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
• UCLA has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Why the UCLA Bruins will win

• UCLA has won four of its last five October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Michigan State has lost seven of its last eight games in October.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of Michigan State’s last seven games.
• Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games as a favorite.
• Michigan State has lost the first half in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Michigan State’s last seven home games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of UCLA’s last six games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Michigan State Spartans Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, Ryan Eckley ranks 1st amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (52.5) this season.

UCLA Bruins Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, Nico Iamaleava leads UCLA for touchdowns (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Michigan State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
• Michigan State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
• UCLA has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
• UCLA ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).

UCLA vs Michigan State Prediction

In this UCLA vs Michigan State Prediction, Michigan State is coming as -8.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 55 points. UCLA has been terrible this season, with just one win in five games played, and has lost both of its road games. On the flip side, Michigan State is a perfect 3-0 at home, and is better both offensively and defensively. The Bruins have a bottom-12 defense nationally, and I expect the Spartans to exploit that and get away with an easy win. The play here is the Michigan State Spartans by -8.5 points at home.