UTSA vs North Texas
October 18, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: North Texas -4 / Over/Under: 67.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a UTSA vs North Texas Prediction for this College Football Week 8 game on Saturday, October 18th at the DATCU Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
North Texas Mean Green Preview
North Texas has a 5-1 record this season and is 4-2 ATS, 4-2 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 2-0 away record. North Texas is coming off a 36-63 home loss against South Florida and will face Charlotte, Navy and UAB next.
Offensively, North Texas average 43.3 points per game, ranking 6th in the NCAAF, while defensively, they allow 27.2 points per game, which is 93rd. North Texas averages 438.0 total yards per game (269.8 passing and 168.2 rushing), while allowing 360.2 total yards per game (201.3 rushing and 158.8 passing).
Drew Mestemaker leads North Texas with 1583 passing yards with 67.3% completed passes and 13 touchdowns. Caleb Hawkins leads the team in rushing yards with 366, while Miles Coleman has a team-high 30 receptions for 320 receiving yards, and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Shane Whitter has a team-high 55 total tackles (27 of them solo), while Keviyan Huddleston leads the team in sacks, with 2.5, while Kollin Lewis has 2 interceptions.
UTSA Roadrunners Preview
UTSA has a 3-3-0 record this season and is sitting 10th in the AAC. They are 3-3-0 ATS, 4-2-0 in Over/Under and have a 2-1-0 home record and a 1-2-0 away record. UTSA is coming off a 61-13 home win against Rice and will face Tulane, South Florida and Charlotte next.
Offensively, UTSA averages 34.5 points per game, ranking 39th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 26.8 points per game, which is 89th. UTSA averages 394.2 total yards per game (214.2 passing and 180.0 rushing), while allowing 365.8 total yards per game (130.2 rushing and 235.7 passing).
Owen McCown leads UTSA with 1,226 passing yards with 64.3% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. Robert Henry leads the team in rushing yards with 730, while Devin McCuin has a team-high 31 receptions for 341 receiving yards. Defensively, Shadrach Banks has a team-high 42 total tackles (28 of them solo), while Nnanna Anyanwu leads the team in sacks, with 4.0, and Shadrach Banks has a team-high 2 interceptions.
UTSA Roadrunners @ North Texas Mean Green Betting Trends: Week 8
Why the North Texas Mean Green will win
- North Texas has won each of its last 10 games as a favorite against teams from Texas.
- UTSA has lost each of its last six road games against conference opponents.
- UTSA has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The home team has covered the spread in 11 of the last 12 games between UTSA and North Texas.
- North Texas has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
- North Texas has won the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
Why the UTSA Roadrunners will win
- UTSA has won each of its last four games against North Texas.
- North Texas has lost each of its last four home games against conference opponents.
- UTSA has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games in Texas.
- North Texas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four home games against conference opponents.
- UTSA has won the first quarter in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- UTSA has won the first half in 11 of its last 13 road games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UTSA’s last nine games in Texas have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of North Texas’ last five games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
North Texas Mean Green Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Caleb Hawkins ranks T9th amongst FBS players for touchdowns (8) this season.
UTSA Roadrunners Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Robert Henry leads the American Conference for touchdowns (10) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- North Texas has played in the equal-highest number of games that went to overtime this season (2).
- North Texas ranks 6th among FBS teams for points per game this season (43.3).
- UTSA ranks 132nd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (17.5).
- UTSA ranks 6th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (10.8).
UTSA vs North Texas Prediction
In their previous meeting last season, UTSA won 48-27 at home, and has won its last four meetings against North Texas. North Texas is 3-1 in their last 4 home meetings against UTSA, and under is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings.
In this UTSA vs North Texas Prediction, North Texas is coming as -4-point home favorites, with the total set at 67.5 points. The Mean Green have been excellent this season, having lost only once in their six games, and are 3-1 at home. The Roadrunners are 3-1 in their last four games, but they are weaker than the hosts both offensively and defensively. North Texas has the 6th-best offense in the country, and have been winning by an average of 16.1 points per game this season. Take North Texas and lay the -4 points in this one.
