Virginia vs California Prediction 11/1/25 College Football Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Virginia vs California Prediction for this College Football Week 10 game on Saturday, November 1^st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

California Golden Bears Preview

California has a 5-3 record this season and is sitting 10th in the ACC. They are 3-5 ATS, 4-4 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 2-2 away record. California is coming off a 34-42 road loss against Virginia Tech and will face Louisville, Stanford and SMU next.

Offensively, California averages 25.0 points per game, ranking 88th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 24.4 points per game, which is 71st. California averages 341.1 total yards per game (253.8 passing and 87.4 rushing), while allowing 342.8 total yards per game (151.9 rushing and 190.9 passing).

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele leads California with 1,982 passing yards with 61.0% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Kendrick Raphael leads the team in rushing yards with 566, while Jacob De Jesus has a team-high 55 receptions for 492 receiving yards. Defensively, Cade Uluave has a team-high 81 total tackles (31 of them solo), while Cade Uluave leads the team in sacks, with 3.0, and Hezekiah Masses has a team-high 4 interceptions.

Virginia Cavaliers Preview

Virginia has a 7-1 record this season and is sitting 2nd in the ACC. They are 5-3 ATS, 5-3 in Over/Under and have a 5-0 home record and a 2-1 away record. Virginia is coming off a 17-16 road win against North Carolina and will face Wake Forest, Duke and Virginia Tech next.

Offensively, Virginia averages 37.1 points per game, ranking 18th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 22.4 points per game, which is 52nd. Virginia averages 436.9 total yards per game (251.1 passing and 185.8 rushing), while allowing 352.8 total yards per game (123.9 rushing and 228.9 passing).

Chandler Morris leads Virginia with 1,807 passing yards with 67.1% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. J’Mari Taylor leads the team in rushing yards with 581, while Trell Harris has a team-high 32 receptions for 477 receiving yards. Defensively, Kam Robinson has a team-high 48 total tackles (17 of them solo), while Daniel Rickert leads the team in sacks, with 5.5, and Ja’son Prevard has a team-high 3 interceptions.

Virginia Cavaliers @ California Golden Bears Betting Trends: Week 10

Why the California Golden Bears will win

• Virginia has lost 14 of its last 15 November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• California has won four of its last five home games.
• The underdog has covered the spread in each of Virginia’s last four games.
• Virginia has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six November games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win

• California has lost each of its last 13 games against AP-ranked teams.
• Virginia has won each of its last six games.
• California has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games in California.
• The road team has covered the spread in three of California’s last four games.
• Virginia has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
• California has lost the first half in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Virginia’s last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of California’s last seven games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

California Golden Bears Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Jacob De Jesus leads the Atlantic Coast Conference for targets (83) this season.

Virginia Cavaliers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, J’Mari Taylor leads Virginia for touchdowns (9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• California ranks 133rd among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (87.4).
• California ranks T127th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (70.0).
• Three of Virginia’s eight games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• Virginia has played in the equal-highest number of games that went to overtime this season (3).

Virginia vs California Prediction

In this Virginia vs California Prediction, Virginia is coming as -4.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 53.5 points. Virginia has been almost perfect this season, having lost only once in their 8 games played and they have both a better offense and defense than California, winning by an average of 14.3 points per game. California has failed to cover in its last three games, so the value here lies with the road favorite. Take Virginia and lay the -4.5 points on the road.