Wake Forest vs NC State Prediction Football Picks 11-11-23
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-5) vs NC State Wolfpack (6-3)
2023-11-11 14:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +2.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The NC State Wolfpack and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons meet in week 11 college football action from Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
NC State Upsets Miami
The NC State Wolfpack come into this one looking to build on back-to-back wins to get to 6-3 on the year after a 20-6 win over Miami last time out. MJ Morris has thrown for 719 yards, 7 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 58.8% passing while Michael Allen has 250 rushing yards and Delbert Mimms III has 171 rushing yards with 6 touchdowns. Kevin Concepcion has a team-high 47 receptions for 554 yards and 6 touchdowns while another six NC State receivers have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. Payton Wilson leads NC State’s defense with 105 total tackles in addition to 4 sacks and a pair of interceptions. Davin Vann has a team-high 5.5 sacks as does Red Hibbler, while four more NC State defenders each have 2 interceptions.
NC State Wolfpack Team Facts
- The home team has won each of NC State’s last four games.
- NC State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six matches when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- NC State has won the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Eight of NC State’s last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Wake Forest Falls To Duke
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons come into this one looking to rebound from back-to-back losses after a 24-21 loss to Duke last time out. Mitch Griffis has thrown for 1,534 yards, 9 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 59.8% passing while Demond Claiborne has a team-high 574 rushing yards with 5 TDs and Justice Ellison has 447 rushing yards. Jahmal Banks leads Wake Forest with 47 receptions for 528 yards and 3 TDs while Taylor Morin has 31 grabs for 449 yards. Ke’Shawn Williams also has 337 receiving yards and Wesley Grimes has 299 receiving yards as well. On defense, Jacob Roberts has a team-high 62 total tackles as well as 5 sacks while Jasheen Davis has a team-high 6.5 sacks and DaShawn Jones has 3 interceptions as well on the year.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons Team Facts
- Wake Forest has won 15 of its last 16 home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Wake Forest has covered the spread in each of its last four matches when playing with a rest advantage.
- Seven of Wake Forest’s last eight November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Wake Forest has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
- NC State rank T34th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (20.9).
Chris’ Pick
I’m looking at the under in this one. I just don’t trust either side offensively in this game, as both have been wildly inconsistent and I think the defensive units on both sides will be the best groups in the game for these two teams. This game feels like a 20-17 or 23-20 kind of game whichever way you have it going, so give me the under here.