College Football

Washington State vs Utah State Prediction 11-9-24 College Football Picks

Utah State Aggies (2-6) vs. Washington State Cougars (7-1)
November 9, 2024 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: Washington State Cougars -20.5 / Utah State Aggies +20.5; Over/Under: +68.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Utah State Aggies and the Washington State Cougars meet Saturday in college football action from Martin Stadium. Here’s a Washington State vs Utah State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Washington State vs Utah State pick.

Utah State Aggies Betting Preview

Utah State beat Robert Morris 36-14 in their opener matchup this year, then hit a rough losing streak. The Aggies’ next six games were losses to USC, Utah, Temple, Boise State, UNLV, and New Mexico. Utah State stopped the slide with a win over Wyoming.


Back on October 26 in the Wyoming game, the Aggies scored 10 points in both the second and fourth quarters for a 27-25 result. QB Spencer Petras threw for 194 yards and two scores, while Rahsul Faison carried 23 times for 131 yards and a TD to lead the rushers.

Washington State Cougars Betting Preview

Over on the Washington State side, they took their lone loss so far to Boise State 45-24 on September 28. Otherwise, it’s been wins over Portland State, Texas Tech, Washington, San Jose State, Fresno State, Hawaii, and San Diego State.

The Cougars had a close call in their match with San Diego State. Washington State posted a 15-7 edge in the fourth quarter to power out the 29-26 victory. QB John Mateer had 257 yards with two touchdowns and also led the rush with 42 yards and two more scores.

Why the Washington State Cougars will win

  • Washington State has won each of its last eight home games against non-conference opponents.
  • Utah State has lost each of its last nine games as a road underdog.
  • Utah State has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine road games.
  • Washington State has covered the spread in six of its last seven November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Washington State has won the first half in each of its last seven home games against non-conference opponents.
  • Washington State has won the first quarter in six of its last seven home games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

  • Utah State has won six of its last seven road games in November.
  • The team ranked 20th in the AP Poll has lost six of its last nine games.
  • The team ranked 20th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last nine games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Utah State’s last four games as an underdog has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of Washington State’s last six games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Washington State vs Utah State Prediction

I’m going to stay with Washington State. The Cougars didn’t exactly play their best in their latest matchup versus San Diego State, but they’ve had plenty of time to rest and gameplan since then. Washington State posted 371 total yards against the Aztecs but went a tepid 5-of-12 on third-down tries. Defensively the Cougars gave up 414 yards and 5.8 yards per play.

As for Utah State, they’ve got some pressure off of themselves by winning that matchup with Wyoming. The Aggies were pretty bad on third downs though (3-of-13) and committed eight penalties for 77 yards. This weekend’s competition will ratchet up even further, and I don’t think the Aggies will keep pace in the end.

Andrew's Free Pick: Washington State Cougars -20.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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