Wisconsin vs Alabama Prediction 9-14-24 College Football Picks
Alabama Crimson Tide (2-0) vs. Wisconsin Badgers (2-0)
September 14, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Wisconsin Badgers +15.5 / Alabama Crimson Tide -15.5; Over/Under: +51.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Alabama Crimson Tide and Wisconsin Badgers meet Saturday in week 3 college football action at Camp Randall Stadium. Here’s a Wisconsin vs Alabama Prediction. This article will include a Wisconsin vs Alabama Pick.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide beat WKU and South Florida and play Georgia next. Alabama looks for its eighth 3-0 start in the last 9 years. Jalen Milroe is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 394 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ryan Williams and Kobe Prentice have combined for 284 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Germie Bernard has 5 receptions.
The Alabama Crimson Tide ground game is averaging 264 yards per contest, and Jam Miller leads the way with 194 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Alabama is allowing 8 points and 227 yards per game. Jihaad Campbell leads the Alabama Crimson Tide with 20 tackles, Que Robinson has 2 sacks and Keon Sabb has 2 interceptions.
Wisconsin Badgers Betting Preview
The Wisconsin Badgers beat Western Michigan and South Dakota, and they play USC next. Wisconsin looks for its first 3-0 start since the 2019 season. Tyler Van Dyke is completing 60.3 percent of his passes for 406 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions. Will Pauling and Bryson Green have combined for 185 receiving yards on 17 catches, while CJ Williams has 2 receptions.
The Wisconsin Badgers ground game is averaging 183.5 yards per contest, and Chez Mellusi leads the way with 134 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing 13.5 points and 249 yards per game. Hunter Wohler leads the Wisconsin Badgers with 15 tackles, Elijah Hills has 2 sacks and Xavier Lucas has 1 interception.
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Alabama has won each of its last 22 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Wisconsin has lost each of its last 10 games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
- Wisconsin has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games at Camp Randall Stadium.
- Alabama has covered the spread in four of its last five games against opponents from the Big Ten Conference.
- Alabama has won the first half in 34 of its last 41 games against non-conference opponents.
- Alabama has won the first quarter in 28 of its last 36 games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Wisconsin’s last eight games at Camp Randall Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Alabama’s last four road games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Wisconsin ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Wisconsin ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 win percentage this season (1.000).
- Alabama ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 win percentage this season (1.000).
- Alabama ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage this season (1.000).
Wisconsin vs Alabama Prediction
I considered grabbing the points with the Wisconsin Badgers because you rarely get this program as big underdogs. In fact, this will be just the fifth time since 2019 that Wisconsin is a double-digit favorite. With that said, Wisconsin has looked sluggish offensively through 2 games and just found itself in a dogfight against South Dakota. That game was a one-possession game entering the fourth quarter.
Alabama is still talented, still great defensively, and has the sort of athletes Wisconsin doesn’t typically see in the Big Ten. This feels like a spot where the Crimson Tide can just wear down Wisconsin. I’ll lay the points with Alabama on the road.