MLB Picks

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets – 8/19/20 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


2020-08-19 19:10:00 EDT

The New York Mets and the Miami Marlins meet Wednesday in MLB action from Marlins Park. 

This is the third matchup in a four-game series between these teams this week. New York took a big 11-4 win in the Monday opener, and on Tuesday in game two the Mets scored four runs in the eighth inning to put the icing on an 8-3 victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks and MLB predictions at Sports Chat Place. 

The Mets were out-hit 10-11 on Tuesday, but relied on that big eighth inning to carry them home. Brandon Nimmo led the way offensively on a 3-for-5 night with a triple, a homer and two RBI. Amed Rosario also had a nice outing with a solo homer and three RBI. Starter Corey Oswalt went 4.1 innings with five hits and two earned. 

For the Wednesday starting role, New York will send Jacob deGrom to the mound. Over four starts this season, deGrom is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 22.0 innings. On his career deGrom is 68-49 with a 2.62 ERA and 1283 Ks in 1123.2 innings of work total. 

Over on the Marlins’ side, they started Tuesday’s game out in the hole when Humberto Mejia allowed three earned on four hits in 4.0 innings as the starter. Offensively Miami couldn’t keep up on the scoreboard, despite three different players hitting twice, and just two players coming up hitless. 

In the Wednesday start, Miami is sending out Pablo Lopez. in his three starts this season, Lopez is 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 19 Ks in 16.0 innings overall. Lopez is also 9-13 for his MLB career with a 4.55 ERA and 160 strikeouts in 186.0 frames. 

The Mets are 6-1 in their last seven Wednesday games and 44-19 in their last 63 games as a favorite. New York is 21-7 in their last 28 games as a road favorite and the over is 5-2-1 in their last eight Wednesday games. 

Meanwhile, the Marlins are 16-36 in their last 52 versus the National League East and 4-13 in their last 17 Wednesday games. Miami is 22-46 in the last 68 games as an underdog and the under is 4-1 in their last five during game three of a series.  

Pick: I’m leaning Miami here; could be a nice value pick. Granted, whenever deGrom starts it’s a big advantage for the Mets. He’ll oftentimes leave the mound with a lead and see it melt away due to a bullpen mistake or a tepid offense, however. With Lopez thiteming well on the other side I don’t see New York getting too many opportunities early, and this one will probably come down to late-inning scoring. I think the Marlins have a good chance at eking one out in what could be a great game. 

Andrew's Free Pick: Miami Marlins +216

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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