MLB Picks

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Picks, Odds, Predictions 7/10/2021

Atlanta Braves (43-44) vs. Miami Marlins (38-49)
July 10, 2021 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +100 / Atlanta Braves -120; Over/Under: 7
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins meet in an NL East division matchup in MLB action from LoanDepot Park on Saturday.

The Atlanta Braves will attempt to build on their 5-0 win over the Marlins from Friday night. Freddie Freeman had a solo home run while Austin Riley went 2 for 4 with a triple, a double and an RBI. Ozzie Albies, Dansby Swanson and Orlando Arcia each had a double and an RBI to ake up the rest of the scoring for the Braves as a team in the loss. Guillermo Heredia and Ronald Acuna Jr. each had a base hit as well in the winning effort for Atlanta. Charlie Morton got the win to improve to 8-3 on the year after tossing seven shutout innings, allowing just two hits while striking out seven in the victory. Max Fried will start here and is 5-5 with a 4.66 ERA and 67 strikeouts this season. In his career, Fried is 0-3 with a 6.19 ERA and 38 strikeouts against Miami.

The Miami Marlins will look to bounce back after another disappointing offensive showing in Friday’s loss. Adam Duvall and Joe Panik each had base hits as the Marlins mustered up just the pair of hits as a team in the loss with the rest of the lineup batting 0 for 21 with 8 strikeouts. Anthony Bass ended up with the loss, falling to 1-5 on the year after allowing just one run in one inning in the start. Trevor Rogers will start here and is 7-5 with a 2.22 ERA and 118 strikeouts this season. In his career, Rogers is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA and 13 strikeouts against Atlanta.

Atlanta is 4-1 in their last 5 division games and 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 road games. Miami is 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games and 4-0 in their last 4 game two matchups while th eunder is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against a left-handed starter.

I get why the case could be made for the Marlins as Rogers really isn’t a pitcher that gives up anything easy to the opposing team. However, the Marlins continue to struggle to give Rogers any consistent run support and while getting run support off an arm like Fried is entirely possible, I’m just not buying it right now. Atlanta’s been really disappointing in the first half of the season and I think the Braves are starting to realize that they need to right the ship in a hurry. I’ll take my chances with the Braves on the road here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Atlanta -120

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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