MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles – August 5, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles - August 5, 2022
2022-08-05 19:05:00 EDT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (42-62) face the Baltimore Orioles (54-51) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday at 7:05pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Mitch Keller is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Dean Kremer is the probable pitcher for the Orioles. The Orioles are favored to win at -165, while the Pirates are at +140. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -121 and UNDER at +100.

  • The Pirates (-150) have a 54-50 Run Line record this season, while the Orioles (+130) hold a record of 71-34.
  • The Pirates have a 43-53-8 O/U record this season (meaning 43 games have gone over the total runs line, 53 have gone under and eight have resulted in a push). The Orioles have a 49-52-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Pirates are averaging 3.6 runs per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Orioles are averaging 4.2 (19th).
  • In the field, the Pirates are allowing a whopping 5.1 runs per game this season (27th in the league), while the Orioles are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (11th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Pirates are at .220 (ranking 29th in the Major leagues), while the Orioles are batting .235 (23rd).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Orioles have hit 109 (15th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Pirates have managed 106 (T16th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have recorded 353 RBIs to rank 28th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Orioles have recorded 420 RBIs to rank 19th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Orioles have an earned run average of 3.88 this season (13th in the Majors), while The Pirates have an ERA of 4.63 (26th).


  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 804 this season, ranking 23rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Orioles rank 24th for total strikeouts, recording 802.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .255 against the Orioles this season (26th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates’ opponents are at .264 (27th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Pirates 14-27-63 8-13-31 6-14-32 4-3-9 10-24-54 0-0-0 0-4-6
  • Orioles 17-30-58 6-14-29 11-16-29 2-6-4 15-24-54 0-0-0 3-3-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Pirates 33-43-28 17-19-16 16-24-12 6-5-5 27-38-23 0-0-0 2-5-3
  • Orioles 37-48-20 17-21-11 20-27-9 3-8-1 34-40-19 0-0-0 4-2-4


  • The NRFI is 58-46 in Pirates games this season. The Orioles have a 57-48 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Pirates recorded a 5-3 victory over the Orioles at PNC Park when these teams last met on September 27, 2017. Josh Bell dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 3 RBIs. The Pirates have now won three straight at PNC Park against the Orioles.

Robert Steele's Free Pick:

Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.
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