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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 5/23/26 MLB Picks Today

Colorado Rockies (20-32) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (26-24)
May 23, 2026 10:10 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -185 / Colorado Rockies +152; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Colorado Rockies and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Saturday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Colorado Rockies will send out Michael Lorenzen here and Lorenzen is 2-6 with a 7.03 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. Zac Gallen will start for Arizona and is 2-4 with a 4.78 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to add on to their 3-2 win over the Diamondbacks from Friday’s matchup to improve to 20-32 this season. After this series, the Rockies will head on the road for a series against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Rockies Snap Three-Game Slide

Entering Friday, TJ Rumfield has 50 hits with 8 doubles, a triple, 6 home runs and 25 RBIs while Ezequiel Tovar has 34 hits with 11 doubles, a home run and 13 RBIs. Hunter Goodman’s added 41 hits with 8 doubles, 11 home runs and 19 RBIs and Jordan Beck has 10 RBIs as well on the year. Troy Johnston has 48 hits with 13 doubles, 2 home runs and 22 RBIs. Willi Castro also has 33 hits with 8 doubles, 2 home runs and 16 RBIs.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Rockies on Friday to fall to 26-24 this season. After this series, the Diamondbacks will head on the road for a series against the San Francisco Giants.

Diamondbacks Have Five-Game Win Streak Squashed

Going into Friday, Corbin Carroll has 46 hits including 11 doubles, 6 triples, 7 home runs and 26 RBIs while Alek Thomas has logged 9 doubles with 2 home runs and 10 RBIs as well this season. Ketel Marte has 44 hits with 7 doubles, 7 home runs and 22 RBIs and Geraldo Perdomo has 35 hits, with 8 doubles, 3 triples, 2 home runs and 15 RBIs as well this season. Nolan Arenado also has 42 hits with 9 doubles, 7 home runs and 25 RBIs and Jose Fernandez has 36 hits with 3 home runs and 14 RBIs this season. Ildemaro Vargas also has 55 hits with 8 doubles, 2 triples, 7 home runs and 32 RBIs.

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: May 23, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Zac Gallen      Record this season: 2-4      ERA: 4.78
  • Home Record: 2-1
  • Last 5 against Rockies: 3-0

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Rockies have lost each of their last 10 night games following a road win.
  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last nine home games against the Rockies following a loss.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games following a road win.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Rockies following a home loss.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 13 Saturday night games.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen      Record this season: 2-6      ERA: 7.03
  • Road Record: 1-3
  • Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 1-2

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Diamondbacks have lost eight of their last nine night games against NL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Rockies have won four of their last five Saturday night games as road underdogs against the Diamondbacks.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rockies’ last five games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Rockies’ last eight night games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Zac Gallen’s last six appearances as a starter against the Rockies.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last three games against NL West opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Corbin Carroll has hit at least one home run in four of the Diamondbacks’ last 12 games against the Rockies.
  • Zac Gallen has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Zac Gallen has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his 15 previous home appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine appearances against the Rockies.
  • Ildemaro Vargas ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.318) this season.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Lorenzen has recorded five strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
  • TJ Rumfield has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Brenton Doyle has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • Troy Johnston ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.316) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (14).
  • The Diamondbacks rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (93).
  • The Rockies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.274).
  • The Rockies rank 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (490).

Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’m on the over in this game. These are just two starting pitchers I don’t trust, and while Lorenzen’s been better on the road, he just got tuned up by Arizona in his last start. Gallen’s been very hittable this season and has been one of the lesser arms from an effectiveness standpoint in this rotation, and I think the over is where it’s at in this one. Give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 9

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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