Arizona Diamondbacks vs NY Mets Prediction 5/10/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Sunday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Huascar Brazoban for the start here and Brazoban is 2-0 with a 1.53 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. This will be Brazoban’s second career start against Arizona. Eduardo Rodriguez will start for the Diamondbacks here and is 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. In his last 5 starts against the Mets, Rodriguez is 2-1 with a 5.20 ERA and 23 strikeouts.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to bounce back from their 2-1 loss at the hands of the Diamondbacks on Saturday to drop to 15-24 on the year. After this series, the Mets will head home for a series against the Detroit Tigers.

Mets Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Entering Saturday, Luis Robert Jr. has 19 hits including 2 home runs and 8 RBIs while Juan Soto has 24 hits with 4 doubles, 4 home runs and 10 RBIs. Brett Baty has 22 hits with 5 doubles, a triple and 12 RBIs while Francisco Lindor has 21 hits with 2 doubles and a pair of triples as well. Marcus Semien also has 30 hits with 6 doubles, 2 home runs and 13 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 36 hits with 5 doubles, 2 home runs and 16 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 25 hits with 4 doubles and 4 home runs this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Mets from Saturday to sit at 17-21 on the year. After this series, the Diamondbacks will head on the road for a series against the Texas Rangers.

Diamondbacks Snap Three-Game Slide

Going into Saturday, Corbin Carroll has 32 hits including 7 doubles, 4 triples, 5 home runs and 20 RBIs while Alek Thomas has logged 9 doubles with 2 home runs and 10 RBIs as well this season. Ketel Marte has 29 hits with 3 doubles, 5 home runs and 13 RBIs and Geraldo Perdomo has 26 hits, with 5 doubles, 3 triples, 2 home runs and 11 RBIs as well this season. Nolan Arenado also has 31 hits with 3 doubles, 5 home runs and 17 RBIs and Jose Fernandez has 28 hits with 3 home runs and 12 RBIs this season. Ildemaro Vargas also has 41 hits with 7 doubles, 2 triples, 6 home runs and 22 RBIs.

New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: May 10, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez      Record this season: 3-0      ERA: 2.50
• Home Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Mets: 2-1

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last seven day games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have won six of their last eight day games against NL East opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games at Chase Field against NL East opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Huascar Brazoban      Record this season: 2-0      ERA: 1.53
• Road Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 0-0

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last eight home games against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against the Diamondbacks following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Sunday day games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last nine road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the last six games between the Mets and Diamondbacks at Chase Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight day games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Mets and Diamondbacks at Chase Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Corbin Carroll has hit at least one home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last five games as home favorites against the Mets.
• Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances.
• Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 13 Sunday appearances.
• Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Mets.
• Ildemaro Vargas ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.350) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Marcus Semien has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Diamondbacks.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against the Diamondbacks after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (11).
• The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for walks this season (106).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.345).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (138).

New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’m on the Diamondbacks in this one. Just when I’m ready to give the Mets the benefit of the doubt, they fall flat and forget to go to work on Saturday and the bats are dead. Arizona showed some fight against the Mets on Saturday and while the offense wasn’t great, I still think that they have enough here to back up Rodriguez and get themselves a win to close out the series. Give me Arizona here.