Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5-4-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate an Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 4th at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in this series. 

Diamondbacks Pitching Woes Continues

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 14-19 this year and they have lost six of their last eight games. Prior to losing the first game in this series on Friday, the Diamondbacks lost two out of three against the Dodgers, Mariners, and Cardinals. Arizona has not won back to back games in their last 17 games and they are currently fourth in the NL West behind the Dodgers, Padres, and Giants. The Diamondbacks are just 8-9 at home this year. 

The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 163 runs with a .246 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Christian Walker is batting .269 with seven home runs and 22 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks this year. Arizona is fourth in runs scored in the MLB this season, but they have scored one run or fewer in five of their last eight games. The Diamondbacks have also allowed 26 runs in their last four games, so the pitching staff needs to figure things out. 

Padres Looking to Reach .500

The San Diego Padres are 17-18 this season and they have won three games in a row. San Diego won the first game in this series by a score of 7-1 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Padres won two out of three against the Reds, were swept by the Phillies, and split a four game series with Colorado on the road. San Diego snapped a five game losing streak with this current three game winning streak, and they are second in the NL West behind the Dodgers. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 170 runs with a .252 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Jake Cronenworth is batting .279 with six home runs and 25 RBI’s for the Padres this year. San Diego has scored 19 runs in their last three games and they are second in the MLB in runs scored so far this year. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Brandon Pfaadt, who is 1-1 with a 4.63 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 35.0 innings pitched this season. Pfaadt has allowed two earned runs in each of his last three starts, but did allow 11 earned runs in the two starts prior to that. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Michael King, who is 2-3 with a 5.00 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 36.0 innings pitched this season. King has allowed 10 earned runs and 14 hits over his last two starts (9.0 IP). 

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 4.63
• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Padres have lost each of their last four games against NL West opponents following a road win.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games against NL West opponents following a road win.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael King Record this season: 2-3 ERA: 5.00
• The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won four of the last six games between the Padres and Diamondbacks.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites.
• The Padres have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Padres’ last five night games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 11 games as favorites against NL West opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction

San Diego comes into this game with some positive momentum and they are looking for their fourth win in a row. The Padres have been strong offensively this year, but their pitching staff has been hit or miss. Arizona was expected to be much better than they have shown this year, but they are one of the highest scoring teams in baseball. Both of these starting pitchers have some poor season stats, but Pfaadt has pitched well in his last three outings. King has had two poor starts in a row and I think that continues here against a hard hitting Arizona team. My Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres prediction is for the Diamondbacks to win.