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St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 5-4-24 Picks

Chicago White Sox (6-26) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (15-17)
May 4, 2024 2:15 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals -196 / Chicago White Sox +164; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 4th at Busch Stadium. 

White Sox Continue to Be Awful

The White Sox continued to be awful and on Friday they scored zero runs again and that led to the defeat. The pitching wasn’t that bad giving up three runs, but it wasn’t enough as they were beaten. Brad Keller got the start and he went 4.2 innings giving up five hits and three runs. The White Sox on the season is averaging 2.78 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.5 runs per game. The offense is ranked 30th while the pitching is ranked 29th. The White Sox offense just isn’t very talented and they are going to need to find a way to turn that around quickly. Andrew Benintendi has hit three home runs and driven in 13 RBIs but he has been the only real bright spot. Getting the start for the White Sox will be Erick Fredde who sits with a 2-0 record and an ERA of 2.60. In his last start against the Rays, he went 8.1 innings giving up seven hits and two runs.

Cardinals Pitching Impresses

The Cardinals pitching really impressed on Friday not giving up a run and that led to the victory. Sonny Gray was a great offseason addition and he went seven innings giving up three hits and zero runs. He had one walk and six strikeouts. The Cardinals on the season is averaging 3.5 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.34 runs per game. The offense is ranked 27th while the pitching is ranked 19th. Overall the stats haven’t been great but the pitching was sure good on Friday. Brendan Donovan has hit three home runs and driven in 16 RBIs. Getting the start for the Cardinals will be Lance Lynn who sits with a 1-0 record and an ERA of 2.64. In his last start against the Mets, he went 5.0 innings giving up five hits and one run. The Cardinals will meet the Mets and Brewers following this series.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Lance Lynn Record this season: 1-0 ERA: 2.64
  • The White Sox have lost each of their last nine road games.
  • The home team has won 12 of the White Sox’s last 15 games.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the White Sox.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against National League opponents.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against National League opponents.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Erick Fedde Record this season: 2-0 ERA: 2.60
  • The Cardinals have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a home win.
  • The White Sox have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The White Sox have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
  • The White Sox have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Cardinals’ last six day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the White Sox’s last eight road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last eight day games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last five day games against NL Central opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

The Cardinals and White Sox were involved in a low-scoring game on Friday and that is going to be the case again here. Fredde sits with an ERA of 2.60 while Lynn sits with an ERA of 2.64. Fredde and Lynn have both been strong this season and that is going to be the case again here. The Cardinals and White Sox will both struggle to score here and this game is going to stay under the total. This is one of the strongest plays on the board. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Under

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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