Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5-5-24 Picks

The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Chase Field. Here’s a Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are riding a 4-game winning streak and play the Cubs after this game. The San Diego Padres have scored 26 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The San Diego Padres have won 6 of their last 9 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 41 hits and 23 RBI, while Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 70 hits and 45 RBI.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 14-20 this season and play the Reds after this. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 2 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 11 games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have lost 11 of their last 12 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 41 hits and 15 RBI, while Christian Walker and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have combined for 65 hits and 44 RBI.

San Diego Padres vs Detroit Pitching Matchup

Matt Waldron gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 1-3 with a 4.35 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. Waldron has allowed 32 hits and 15 earned runs in 31 innings this season. Waldron has a 1.10 ERA and .164 allowed batting average in 16.1 road innings. This will be Waldron’s second career game against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Ryne Nelson gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 1-2 with a 4.60 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. Nelson will pitch for the first time in about three weeks, as he spent time on the IL with an elbow injury. Nelson has allowed 19 hits and 8 earned runs through 15.2 innings, with 5 walks. Nelson is 1-2 with a 6.04 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 4.60
• The Diamondbacks have won nine of their last 10 day games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have lost four of their last five day games following a win.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against NL West opponents following a road win.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games at Chase Field against NL West opponents.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Matt Waldron Record this season: 1-3 ERA: 4.35
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
• The Padres have won three of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites.
• The Padres have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as favorites.
• The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in each of their last three games as favorites.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against the Diamondbacks at Chase Field.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Padres’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 12 games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last three day games at Chase Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction

Matt Waldron has been average at best this season overall, but he’s been money when pitching on the road through 16.1 innings. It’s hard to get behind the Arizona Diamondbacks given the offense consistently falls flat, and I’m not thrilled to get behind Ryne Nelson, who hasn’t pitched in weeks due to an elbow issue. The Padres are playing the better ball right now, and they have the edge on the mound, given how Waldron has looked on the road. I’ll take the Padres to win game 3 on Sunday afternoon.