Astros vs Mariners Prediction 8/14/26 MLB Picks Today

The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros meet Friday in MLB action at Daikin Park. Here’s an Astros vs Mariners Prediction. This article will include an Astros vs Mariners Pick.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 57-65 on the year and play the Cubs and Brewers next. The Seattle Mariners are batting .228 on the season, have a .307 OBP, and have a .374 slugging percentage. The Seattle Mariners’ pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Cole Young leads the Seattle Mariners with 116 hits and 52 RBI, while Randy Arozarena and Josh Naylor have combined for 231 hits and 95 RBI.

George Kirby gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 8-9 with a 3.68 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. Kirby is 6-1 with a 2.14 ERA and 61 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 62-60 on the year and play the Angels and Athletics next. The Houston Astros are batting .243 on the season, have a .319 OBP, and have a .411 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros’ pitching staff has a 4.54 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez leads the Houston Astros with 140 hits and 87 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Christian Walker have combined for 209 hits and 129 RBI.

Peter Lambert gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 8-6 with a 3.09 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. Lambert is 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Mariners have lost each of their last seven games following a road win.
• The Astros have won each of their last six games against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games following a road win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games at Daikin Park against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have lost the first inning in each of their last four games against AL West opponents.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Astros.
• The Astros have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Mariners following a win.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Astros following a road win.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Mariners following a win.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games at Daikin Park.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games at Daikin Park.
• The Astros have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Astros’ last nine games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Mariners’ last eight games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Astros’ last eight home games against American League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mariners’ last five road games against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yainer Diaz has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Astros as favorites against AL West opponents.
• Peter Lambert has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.
• Christian Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last nine games against AL opponents.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.322) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Randy Arozarena has hit a home run in four of the Mariners’ last five road games against AL opponents.
• George Kirby has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Astros.
• George Kirby has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against the Astros.
• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Mariners as road underdogs.
• Josh Naylor ranks T10th in the league in Steals (23) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (38).
• The Astros rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (504).
• The Mariners rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (469).
• The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (143).

Astros vs Mariners Prediction

You can make an argument for the Mariners in the plus-money role with Kirby on the mound, but the Mariners stink and are one of the biggest underachievers in baseball. I’m not excited about Seattle night to night. The Astros are in the thick of a division race and should take advantage of home games to close the gap. Lambert has also been great through 113.2 innings with a 3.09 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. The price is low. Give me the Astros.