Astros vs Rangers Prediction 8/1/26 MLB Picks Today
Texas Rangers (55-55) vs. Houston Astros (56-55)
August 1, 2026 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros 106 / Texas Rangers -128; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 1st at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 56-55 this season after they won game one by a score of 11-2 last night. Houston scored the first six runs in the game and they cruised to the easy victory. The Astros recorded 18 hits in the game and they were led by Pena, who went 3-5 with three RBIs. Brown allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while King closed out the game in the ninth. Prior to this series, Houston swept the Angels in three games and won two out of three against the White Sox.
This season, Houston has a 4.67 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 516 runs with a .244 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 35 home runs and 82 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 22 home runs and 63 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Ronel Blanco, who is 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 10.0 innings pitched this season.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers are 55-55 this year after they lost game one by a score of 2-11 on Friday night. Texas cut the deficit to 6-2 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the lopsided loss. The Rangers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Pederson, who went 1-1 with one home run and one RBI. Eovaldi allowed 10 hits and six earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Curvelo allowed four earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Texas lost two out of three against the Rays, but did win three out of four against the Mariners before that.
This season, Texas has a 4.31 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 458 runs with a .245 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Jake Burger has led the Rangers with 19 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Ezequiel Duran has added 12 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Jacob deGrom, who is 7-6 with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 110.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won each of their last eight night games after playing the previous day.
- The Rangers have lost each of their last eight night games against AL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Saturday games as favorites.
- The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Rangers have lost the first inning in each of their last three games at Daikin Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against the Rangers at Daikin Park.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against the Rangers at Daikin Park.
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Rangers have won five of their last six games against AL West opponents following a loss.
- The Astros have lost eight of their last nine games as home underdogs following a win.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Astros’ last four games at Daikin Park.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as home underdogs following a home win.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Rangers have won the first inning in four of their last five games against AL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rangers’ last 11 games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the last four games between the Rangers and Astros have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 14 of the Rangers’ last 15 night games against AL West opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the last eight night games between the Rangers and Astros.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Isaac Paredes has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last three home games.
- Ronel Blanco has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL West opponents.
- Ronel Blanco has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in night games.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Ezequiel Duran has hit at least one home run in three of the Rangers’ last four games as favorites against AL West opponents.
- Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Wyatt Langford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Rangers as favorites.
- Brandon Nimmo is one of only nine players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (473).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (37).
- The Rangers rank 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (313).
- The Rangers rank 25th in the league for runs scored this season (458).
Astros vs Rangers Prediction
Houston comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they have scored 27 runs during that span. The Astros are 27-27 at home this year, while the Rangers are 27-30 on the road. Texas has lost three in a row and they have scored a total of four runs in those three games. The Rangers are starting deGrom, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Blanco has allowed nine earned runs over 10.0 innings since coming back from injury. I know Blanco has struggled, but Houston is rolling. Take the Astros here.