Astros vs Royals Prediction 9/16/26 MLB Picks Today

The Kansas City Royals and Houston Astros meet Wednesday in MLB action at Daikin Park. Here’s an Astros vs. Royals Prediction. This article will include an Astros vs Royals Pick.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 66-85 on the year and play the Pirates and White Sox next. The Kansas City Royals are batting .246 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and have a .399 slugging percentage. The Kansas City Royals’ pitching staff has a 4.63 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 143 hits and 54 RBI, while Salvador Perez and Jac Caglianone have combined for 258 hits and 142 RBI.

Daniel Lynch IV gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 5-5 with a 3.52 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. Gray is 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 76-75 on the year and play the Mariners and Braves next. The Houston Astros are batting .240 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and have a .408 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros’ pitching staff has a 4.55 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez leads the Houston Astros with 162 hits and 96 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Christian Walker have combined for 254 hits and 165 RBI.

Cristian Javier gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 2-5 with a 5.50 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Javier is 0-2 with a 5.60 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Kansas City Royals.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won seven of their last eight home games against the Royals.
• The Royals have lost each of their last six games against the Astros following a road loss.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against AL opponents.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Royals have lost the first inning in each of their last three night games against AL West opponents.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Astros have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL opponents following a home win.
• The Royals have won four of their last six games as underdogs against AL opponents following a road loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Royals following a home win.
• The Royals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Royals’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Astros’ last seven home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Royals’ last eight games at Daikin Park.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Astros’ last eight night games at Daikin Park.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last two home games.
• Cristian Javier has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Cristian Javier has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against the Royals.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.594) this season.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Carter Jensen has hit at least one home run in four of the Royals’ last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 13 night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (41) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros rank 30th in the league for steals this season (45).
• The Astros rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (607).
• The Royals rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (271).
• The Royals rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (1093).

Astros vs Royals Prediction

You can talk yourself into the Royals and the plus money with Lynch on the mound, who has a 3.52 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. Javier has struggled this season with a 5.50 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. However, the Royals stink, and that includes being 22 games below .500 on the road. Javier has also found his footing this month, allowing 4 hits and 2 runs in 11 innings. Also, the Astros are looking to lock up the division, and games like this at home against a bottom feeder are just what the doctor ordered. This is a spot where the better team just finds a way to get it done. I’ll take the Astros and the reasonable price.