Astros vs Twins Prediction 6/29/26 MLB Picks Today

The Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros meet Monday in MLB action at Daikin Park. Here’s an Astros vs Twins Prediction. This article will include an Astros vs Twins Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 40-45 on the year and play the Guardians and Yankees next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .247 on the season and have a .322 OBP and a .412 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins’ pitching staff has a 4.86 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Minnesota Twins with 81 hits and 43 RBI, while Josh Bell and Brooks Lee have combined for 145 hits and 98 RBI.

Zebby Matthews gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 3-5 with a 4.56 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season. This will be Matthews’ second career game against the Houston Astros.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 42-44 on the year and play the Rays and Nationals next. The Houston Astros are batting. 242 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and have a .410 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros’ pitching staff has a 4.74 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez leads the Houston Astros with 94 hits and 56 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Christian Walker have combined for 149 hits and 101 RBI.

Peter Lambert gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 6-4 with a 3.28 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. This will be Lambert’s first career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Twins have lost each of their last four night games after playing the previous day.
• The Astros have won five of their last six games.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against the Astros following a win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in five of their last six games.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games at Daikin Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Daikin Park against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Astros have lost each of their last seven games as favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Twins have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games as favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Twins have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last six road games against AL West opponents.
• The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last five road games against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Twins’ last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Astros’ last eight games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last six road games against AL West opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Astros’ last four games.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in three of his last five home appearances against the Twins.
• Peter Lambert has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Astros as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.613) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in 11 of his last 14 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Zebby Matthews has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Byron Buxton ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (25) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (28).
• The Astros rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (374).
• The Twins rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (4.86).
• The Twins rank 28th in the league for runs allowed this season (442).

Astros vs Twins Prediction

The Astros are coming off a strong week, and now they face a hittable pitcher in Matthews, who has a 4.56 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Matthews has allowed 28 hits and 13 runs in his last 26 innings, and on the road through 23.1 frames, he has a 7.33 ERA and .292 allowed batting average. Not ideal folks. Lambert has allowed just 18 hits and 6 runs in his last 23.1 innings. He has a 3.40 ERA and .203 allowed batting average at home through 42.1 frames. The price is low. Give me the Astros to keep things rolling.