Athletics vs Astros Prediction 7/25/25 MLB Picks Today
Athletics vs Astros
July 25, 2025 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Athletics +135 / Astros -160 / Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Athletics are visiting the Houston Astros on Friday, July 25th at the Daikin Park in the second game of this series, with the Athletics having the 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Athletics vs Astros Prediction. We will examine:
The Houston Astros recent form and player performance
The Athletics recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Houston Astros
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Athletics
Recent betting trends in games played between the Athletics vs Houston Astros
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Athletics vs Houston Astros game
Houston Astros Preview
The Houston Astros have a 60-43 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL West. The Astros have a 33-20 home record and 44-54 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-5 home defeat by the Athletics, which snapped their previous four-game winning streak. Under is 3-0 in their last 3 games and are playing the Nationals and the Red Sox next.
The Astros have a .259 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .408 slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Jose Altuve leads the Astros with 107 hits and leads the team in RBI with 53. Jeremy Pena is the team’s best hitter with a .322 batting average, while Isaac Paredes adds a team-high 19 home runs.
Ryan Gusto (R) is the projected starter for the Astros, and he has a 6-3 record, 4.46 ERA and 1.42 WHIP.
Athletics Preview
The Athletics have a 43-62 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the AL West. The Athletics have a 23-31 road record and are 56-44 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-2 road victory over the Astros, which ended their previous four-game losing streak. Over is 5-2 in their last 7 games and are playing the Diamondbacks and the Mariners next.
The Athletics have a .249 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .419 Slugging percentage. Athletics’ pitching staff has a 5.20 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Jacob Wilson leads the Athletics with 114 hits and he is the team’s best hitter with a .311 batting average. Tyler Soderstrom leads the team with 57 RBI, while Brent Rooker adds a team-high 21 home runs.
Jeffrey Springs (L) is the projected starter for the Athletics, and he has an 8-7 record, 4.18 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Athletics have lost eight of their last nine road games against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have won 15 of their last 16 Friday games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six Friday games against the Athletics.
- The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Friday games against the Athletics.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine night games against the Athletics at Daikin Park.
Why the Athletics will win
- The Astros have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites.
- The underdogs have won four of the Astros’ last five games.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last 11 games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The road team has covered the run line in 15 of the Astros’ last 16 games.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Astros’ last three games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Athletics’ last eight road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Athletics’ last nine games as underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Athletics and Astros at Daikin Park.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (984).
- The Astros rank T2nd in the league for hits this season (902).
- The Athletics rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (156).
- The Athletics rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.20).
Athletics vs Astros Prediction
The Astros are 5-3 in their last 8 meetings against the Athletics, and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Houston. Over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 meetings.
In this Athletics vs Astros Prediction, the Astros are coming as -160 home favorites. Houston is rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record, and have been very strong at home. The A’s have the second-worst bullpen in the league, while the Astros have a better offense, and they put Gusto on the mound, who is facing the A’s for the second time this season, with the first one being a quality start with just one earned run in 5 innings pitched. Springs for the A’s is coming off a bad start, so this sets up as a perfect bounce-back spot for the Astros. Take the Houston Astros to get the job done at home today.