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Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 4-5-24 Picks

Arizona Diamondbacks (4-3) vs. Atlanta Braves (3-2)
April 5, 2024 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -286 / Arizona Diamondbacks +235; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s a Diamondbacks vs Braves prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks recent form and player performance
  • The Atlanta Braves recent form and player performance
  • Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves
  • Recent betting trends in games played between the Diamondbacks and Braves
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Diamondbacks vs Braves game

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

Arizona is coming off a series versus the New York Yankees this week. The Diamondbacks lost 5-2 in the opener of that set, then took a 7-0 shutout win in game two. In the rubber match Thursday, Arizona lost a tough one 6-5 in 11 innings. Ketel Marte took a solo homer in that one, and Corbin Carroll added two hits with an RBI.

In the starter role for the Diamondbacks on Friday, it’ll be Tommy Henry. This year in his lone start, Henry took a loss with 4.0 innings, five earned, six hits and two walks. Over 27 games (26 starts) in his career Henry is 8-9 with a 4.76 ERA and 104 Ks in 140.0 innings.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Over on the Braves’ side, they played a pair against the Chicago White Sox in their latest series. Atlanta won 9-0 in the opener, then fell 3-2 on Tuesday. Starter Reynaldo Lopez went 6.0 innings with one earned on four hits and two walks in that one. Marcell Ozuna hit a pair of solo homers as one of the only offensive bright spots.

Spencer Strider will take the starting role Friday and try to get the Braves back on track. Strider posted a no-decision his first time out this year, notching 5.0 frames, two earned, three hits and two walks. In 66 career games (53 starts), Strider is 32-10 with a 3.37 ERA.

Atlanta Braves Team Facts

  • The Braves have won each of their last nine night games against NL West opponents.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last three night games.
  • The Braves have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Braves have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five night games.

Arizona Diamondbacks Team Facts

  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in each of their last five games against National League opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 7 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs.

Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction

I’m going to stay with the Braves. Realistically the line’s too thick to mess with, though. Strider put up a pretty solid start in his first appearance this year versus Philadelphia, helping guide the Braves to a 9-3 win. His two earned runs in that game both came in the fifth and final inning for him. Offensively, the Braves are doing pretty well so far. They’ve scored four or more runs in four of five games this year.

As for Arizona, they had a tricky series this week against a Yankees team that’s started out the year pretty hot. The Diamondbacks did manage 14 runs over those three games, however seven of those came on Tuesday in the shutout win. I like Arizona to hang around in this one if they get the bats going, but ultimately I think the Braves wil prevail.

Andrew's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves -286

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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