Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 8/14/26 MLB Picks Today

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Arizona Diamondbacks will send out Brandon Pfaadt for the start here and Pfaadt is 6-1 with a 3.36 ERA and 54 strikeouts this season. The Atlanta Braves did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to bounce back from their 6-4 loss at the hands of Colorado to sit at 64-58 this season. After this series, the Diamondbacks will take on the Boston Red Sox in a series at home.

Diamondbacks Drop Back-To-Back Games

Corbin Carroll has 108 hits including 24 doubles, 14 triples, 18 home runs and 57 RBIs. Ketel Marte has 117 hits with 23 doubles, 3 triples, 21 home runs and 67 RBIs and Geraldo Perdomo has 103 hits, with 15 doubles, 6 triples, 9 home runs and 42 RBIs as well this season. Nolan Arenado also has 96 hits with 20 doubles, 18 home runs and 58 RBIs and Gabriel Moreno has 101 hits with 23 doubles, 8 home runs and 53 RBIs this season. Ildemaro Vargas also has 91 hits with 17 doubles, 4 triples, 7 home runs and 56 RBIs.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to build on a 6-3 win over the New York Mets last time out to sit at 73-48 this season. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a set against the Minnesota Twins.

Braves Win 7 Of Last 10

Drake Baldwin has 105 hits with 8 doubles, 20 home runs and 61 RBIs while Matt Olson has 124 hits with 29 doubles, 35 homers and 74 RBIs. Ozzie Albies has added 119 hits with 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 64 RBIs and Ronald Acuna Jr. has 63 hits with 11 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 30 RBIs. Austin Riley has 97 hits with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 58 RBIs and Michael Harris II has 127 hits with 25 doubles, 20 home runs and 67 RBIs and Mauricio Dubon has 114 hits with 23 doubles, 2 triples, 10 home runs and 61 RBIs this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: August 14, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Sale      Record this season: 12-7      ERA: 2.20
• Home Record: 7-2
• Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 4-1

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last 10 Friday home games.
• The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last nine games following a home win.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine home games.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 home games against opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt      Record this season: 6-1      ERA: 3.36
• Road Record: 3-1
• Last 5 against Braves: 2-0

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a home loss.
• The Braves have lost five of their last six night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against NL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against the Braves at Truist Park.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against the Braves at Truist Park.
• The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in each of their last four games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Braves’ last seven games as favorites against the Diamondbacks have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Chris Sale’s last 11 appearances as a starter.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 10 of Brandon Pfaadt’s last 11 road appearances as a starter.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Chris Sale has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Diamondbacks.
• Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Matt Olson ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last two games.
• Brandon Pfaadt has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances.
• Brandon Pfaadt has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his five previous appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Gabriel Moreno ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.305) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (9).
• The Braves rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (164).
• The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (32).
• The Diamondbacks rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (828).

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’m on the Diamondbacks here. It’ll be interesting to see who Atlanta sends out here, but the Diamondbacks have backed up Pfaadt a ton since he returned from his injury and I think he gets some backing here again. The Braves’ bullpen has been shaky at times, and I think Atlanta could be in some trouble to start the series here. Give me Arizona in this one.