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Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 5-7-24 Picks

Boston Red Sox (19-16) vs. Atlanta Braves (20-12)
May 7, 2024 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -167 / Boston Red Sox +141; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 7th at Truist Park.

Red Sox Coming Off a Win

The Red Sox lost their last series against the Minnesota Twins, but they were able to pick up a victory in the last game. The Red Sox offense scored nine runs on Sunday and that was enough for the seven run victory. Rafael Devers hit a home run and drove in two RBIs. Cooper Criswell went 4.1 innings, giving up five hits and one run. He did work out of a couple of jams to help the Red Sox escape with a victory. 

Red Sox Offense is Average 

The Red Sox are averaging 4.63 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.54 runs per game. The offense is ranked 12th in the league, while the defense is ranked 4th. Connor Wong has hit five home runs and driven in 14 RBIs. Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox and coming into this game he sits with a 2-1 record and an ERA of 1.56. In his last start against the San Francisco Giants, he went seven innings, giving up four hits and two earned runs. 

Braves Suddenly Slumping

The Braves have lost three games in a row and the offense has been a major issue heading into this game. Over the last three games, the Braves’ offense has scored only six runs total, and they are going to need the offense to get out of their little slump. The Braves on the season are averaging 5.09 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.03 runs per game. The offense is ranked 3rd in the league, while the pitching is ranked 12th. They still have a run differential of 1.06 which is 8th in the league. 

Lopez Looks for Another Good Start

Getting the start for the Braves will Reynaldo Lopez, who sits with a 2-1 record and an ERA of 1.50. In his last start against the Seattle Mariners, he went five innings, giving up six hits and three runs. Two starts ago against the Marlins he went seven innings giving up three hits and one run. Lopez is going to need to be strong in this game. 

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 1.50
  • The Red Sox have lost each of their last eight Tuesday games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have won seven of their last eight games at Truist Park following a loss.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight Tuesday games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against American League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against AL East opponents.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Kutter Crawford Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 1.56
  • The Red Sox have won five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Braves have lost each of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games following a road loss.
  • The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have won the first inning in four of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Braves’ last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Red Sox’s last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last three road games against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Kutter Crawford has been good and so has Lopez this season. Crawford sits with an ERA of 1.56 while Lopez sits with an ERA of 1.50. Both Lopez and Crawford are going to have no issue stepping up here, and that is going to be the difference here. This game is going to be an old-fashioned pitcher’s duel, where it wouldn’t shock me if only one team made it on the scoreboard. Back the under to cash here with ease. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Under

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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