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Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5-7-24 Picks

Seattle Mariners (19-16) vs. Minnesota Twins (20-14)
May 7, 2024 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -147 / Seattle Mariners +124; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Seattle Mariners and Minnesota Twins meet Tuesday in MLB game 2 action at Nissan Arena. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 19-16 this season after wins over the Braves and Astros. The Seattle Mariners have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9 games. The Seattle Mariners have lost 6 of their last 9 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 35 hits and 11 RBI, while Ty France and Josh Rojas have combined for 55 hits and 15 RBI.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 20-14 on the season after recent wins over the White Sox and Red Sox. The Minnesota Twins have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 3 of their last 4 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 31 hits and 12 RBI, while Ryan Jeffers and Byron Buxton have combined for 53 hits and 33 RBI.

Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Emerson Hancock gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 3-3 with a 4.75 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. Hancock has allowed 30 hits and 16 earned runs in his last 30.1 innings, and this will be his 10th career start. Hancock has a 8.68 ERA and .349 allowed batting average in 9.1 road innings. This will be Hancock’s first career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Bailey Ober gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 3-1 with a 4.55 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. The Twins have won each of Ober’s last 3 starts. Ober has a 1.64 ERA and .139 allowed batting average in 11 home innings. Ober is 2-0 with a 4.20 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 4.55
  • The Twins have won each of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
  • The Mariners have lost each of their last three games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against AL West opponents.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against the Mariners.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Emerson Hancock Record this season: 3-3 ERA: 4.75
  • The Mariners have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against the Twins following a road loss.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last three games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against the Mariners following a home win.
  • The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mariners’ last 10 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Fifteen of the Twins’ last 19 games as favorites against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last seven games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last three night games.

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

You could argue this price should be a bit steeper. Emerson Hancock has been hittable all year, and he’s been rocked on the road through 9.1 innings. Bailey Ober has settled down in his last couple of starts, and he’s been money through 11 home innings. Also, the Minnesota Twins have lost just one game since April 22. The Twins are the hottest team in the league, and they’ve put themselves in the green for bettors during this winning stretch. I’m not stepping in front of the Twins right now, especially with lines this soft. Give me the Twins to keep the wins coming.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Minnesota Twins -147

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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