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Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 5/13/26 MLB Picks Today

Chicago Cubs (27-15) vs. Atlanta Braves (29-13)
May 13, 2026 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves +113 / Chicago Cubs -136; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Chicago Cubs and the Atlanta Braves meet Wednesday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Chicago Cubs will send out Shota Imanaga for the start here and Imanaga is 4-2 with a 2.28 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. In his career, Imanaga is 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 14 strikeouts against the Braves. JR Ritchie will start for Atlanta here and is 1-0 with a 3.63 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. This will be Ritchie’s first career start against the Cubs.

Chicago Cubs Recap

The Chicago Cubs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-2 loss at the hands of the Braves last time out to sit at 27-15 this season. After this series, the Cubs will head on the road for a series against the Chicago White Sox.

Cubs Lose 3 In A Row

Entering Tuesday, Ian Happ has 34 hits with 6 doubles and a team-high 9 home runs and 18 RBIs while Alex Bregman has 37 hits with 5 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 13 RBIs. Nico Hoerner’s added 45 hits with 12 doubles, 4 home runs and 28 RBIs and Moises Ballesteros has 26 hits with 6 home runs and 19 RBIs. Pete Crow-Armstrong’s also added 37 hits with 5 doubles, 2 triples, 4 home runs and 17 RBIs as well on the year. Carson Kelly has also contributed 28 hits with 4 doubles, 2 home runs and 13 RBIs. Alex Bregman’s added 37 hits with 5 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 13 RBIs and Michael Busch has 35 hits wtih 8 doubles, 3 home runs and 23 RBIs. Dansby Swanson also has 27 hits with 6 home runs and 25 RBIs.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to add on to their win over Chicago from Tuesday’s matchup to sit at 29-13 this season. After this series, the Braves will take on the Boston Red Sox in a series at home.

Braves Win 3 In A Row

Going into Tuesday, Drake Baldwin has 49 hits with 5 doubles, 10 home runs and 32 RBIs while Matt Olson has 47 hits with 15 doubles, 14 homers and 36 RBIs. Ozzie Albies has added 49 hits with 8 doubles, 8 home runs and 25 RBIs and Ronald Acuna Jr. has 32 hits with 8 doubles, a triple, 2 home runs and 9 RBIs. Austin Riley has 33 hits with 7 doubles, 5 home runs and 24 RBIs and Michael Harris II has 40 hits with 5 doubles, 7 home runs and 23 RBIs and Mauricio Dubon has 39 hits with 10 doubles, 2 triples, 2 home runs and 23 RBIs this season.

The Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: May 13, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Ian Ritchie      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 3.63
  • Home Record: 0-0
  • Last 5 against Cubs: –

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The home team has won 10 of the Cubs’ last 11 games.
  • The Cubs have lost six of their last seven games at Truist Park against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Shota Imanaga      Record this season: 4-2      ERA: 2.28
  • Road Record: 1-1
  • Last 5 against Braves: 1-1

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • The Cubs have won each of their last 15 games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Braves have lost each of their last nine games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday night games.
  • The Cubs have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 Wednesday games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last eight games between the Cubs and Braves at Truist Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Cubs’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Cubs’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Braves’ last six games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Olson has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last five games as home underdogs.
  • Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Matt Olson ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.644) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last four games against NL East opponents.
  • Shota Imanaga has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
  • Shota Imanaga has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 12 games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (233).
  • The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (394).
  • The Cubs rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.344).
  • The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (196).

Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. I get the case to be made for either side in this game but the thing here is that the Braves have been one of the better lineups in baseball against lefties this season and I still think that JR Ritchie has the weakest game in the Braves rotation right now. He’ll get better with more time at this level, but he just doesn’t have it right now and I think this is going to be a high-scoring game. Give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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