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Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 5-15-24 Picks

Chicago Cubs (24-19) vs. Atlanta Braves (26-13)
May 15, 2024 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -192 / Chicago Cubs +161; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Chicago Cubs and Atlanta Braves meet Wednesday in MLB game 3 action at Truist Park. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Prediction.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 24-19 this season and play the Pirates after this. The Chicago Cubs have scored 5 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Chicago Cubs have lost 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Nico Hoerner leads the Chicago Cubs with 42 hits and 12 RBI, while Michael Busch and Christopher Morel have combined for 67 hits and 47 RBI.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves have won 6 of their last 7 games and play the Padres after this. The Atlanta Braves have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Atlanta Braves have won 10 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 47 hits and 41 RBI, while Michael Harris II and Ronald Acuna Jr. have combined for 78 hits and 26 RBI.

Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Javier Assad gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 3-0 with a 1.70 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. Assad has allowed 8 hits and 1 earned run in his last 10.1 innings. Assad has a 2.70 ERA and .216 allowed batting average in 20 road innings. Assad is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Charlie Morton gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 3-0 with a 3.14 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. Morton has allowed 8 hits and 3 runs in his last 13 innings. Morton has a 2.89 ERA and .200 allowed batting average in 18.2 home innings. Morton is 4-7 with a 5.27 ERA and 89 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won each of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Cubs have lost each of their last six games at Truist Park.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

 

  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Braves’ last nine games against NL Central opponents.
  • Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit a home run in each of his three previous appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 15 night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Austin Riley has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in night games.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves’ last 15 night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

 

  • Cody Bellinger has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances in night games.
  • Ian Happ has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against the Braves.
  • Dansby Swanson has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances at Truist Park.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one total base in each of his 13 previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

 

  • The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (138).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank T2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (296).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank T4th in the league for triples this season (9).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank 5th in the league for walks this season (160).

Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

Javier Assad has been respectable enough this season to give the Cubs an honest look in the underdog role. The question is will it matter? The Atlanta Braves are on one of those tears where you just sit back and watch the money pile up. When the Braves are winning games and firing on all cylinders, they’re arguably the best team in baseball. Charlie Morton has also been solid in his own right, especially at home, where he has an ERA under 3 through 18.2 innings. I’ll ride the hot hand. Give me the Braves and the RL for max betting value. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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