Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 5-15-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 15th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in this series. 

Brewers Still Leading the NL Central 

The Milwaukee Brewers are 25-17 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Milwaukee lost game one in this series on Monday, but they bounced back with a win in game two by a score of 4-3. Prior to this series, the Brewers won three out of four against St. Louis, lost two out of three against Kansas City, and lost two out of three against the Cubs. Milwaukee has only won five of their last eleven games, but they are still 1.5 games up on the Cubs for first in the NL Central. 

The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 213 runs with a .257 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .256 with seven home runs and 29 RBI’s for the Brewers this season. Milwaukee is 16th in team ERA this season and they have allowed at least four runs in six of their last 11 games. 

Pirates Trying to Avoid Third Straight Series Loss 

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 19-24 this year and they have lost five of their last seven games. Pittsburgh won game one in this series by a score of 8-6 on Monday, but lost game two on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Pirates lost two out of three against the Cubs, lost two out of three against the Angels, and won two out of three against the Rockies. Pittsburgh has lost four of their last five series and they are third in the NL Central behind the Brewers and Cubs. 

The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 161 runs with a .223 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Oneil Cruz is batting .271 with seven home runs and 18 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. Pittsburgh is 26th in the MLB in runs scored this year and they have scored three runs or fewer in nine of their last 15 games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Robert Gasser, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.33 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this year. Gasser allowed 0 earned runs and two hits over 6.0 innings against St. Louis in his first start. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Martin Perez, who is 1-2 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 45.0 innings pitched this year. Perez has allowed three earned runs or more in four of his last five starts and has allowed eight hits in each of his last two. 

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won eight of their last nine day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight games following a road loss.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a road loss.
• The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five road day games.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road day games.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 

Milwaukee comes into this matchup leading the NL Central, but they are just 11-9 at home. The Brewers have not played their best baseball over the last two weeks, but they will go for the series win here. Pittsburgh is just 10-12 on the road and they are going with Martin Perez, who has not pitched well in his last five starts. Milwaukee is going with Robert Gasser, who has only made one start, but looked solid against the Cardinals. I don’t love this pitching matchup, but I can’t count on this Pittsburgh offense to score with any consistency. My Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction is for the Brewers to win at home.