Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 9-28-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 28th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 87-71 this year and they have won four games in a row. Atlanta won game one in this series by a score of 3-0 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Braves won one game against the Mets, won two out of three against the Marlins, and won two out of three against the Reds. Atlanta is 6-1 in their last seven games and they are tied for second in the NL East. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 690 runs with a .243 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .308 with 39 home runs and 102 RBI’s for the Braves this season. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 85-75 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Kansas City lost game one in this series and they failed to score a run in the game. Prior to this series, the Royals swept the Nationals, lost all three against the Giants, and lost all three against the Tigers. Kansas City is 3-8 in their last 11 games and they are third in the AL Central. 

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 730 runs with a .249 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .332 with 32 home runs and 109 RBI’s for the Royals this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 16-9 with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 204.2 innings pitched this year. Lugo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Reynaldo Lopez, who is 8-5 with a 2.03 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 128.2 innings pitched this year. Lopez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, but hasn’t pitched since getting hurt on 9/10. 

Why the Braves will beat the Royals

• The Braves have won each of their last six night games against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have lost eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games following a loss.
• The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last eight home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Royals’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five home games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last four night games against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
• Sean Murphy has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four games against the Royals.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 home appearances against AL opponents.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in three of the Braves’ last four games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 home appearances against AL opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Salvador Perez has hit a home run in two of the Royals’ last three road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Adam Frazier has scored at least one run in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
• MJ Melendez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
• Salvador Perez has recorded a Single in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Braves.
• MJ Melendez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Seth Lugo has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.

Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this matchup looking for their fifth straight win, as they try to stay right in the middle of the NL Wild Card race. The Braves are 44-33 at home this year, while the Royals are just 40-39 on the road. Kansas City has played very poorly over the last two weeks and their offense has disappeared. Both of these starting pitchers are very solid and normally I would stay away from a pitcher coming off of the IL, but I have little faith in KC right now. Take the Braves to win.