Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction 4-23-24 Picks
Miami Marlins (6-17) vs. Atlanta Braves (14-6)
April 23, 2024 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -227 / Miami Marlins +188; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article, we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 23rd at Truist Park.
Marlins Offense Struggled Again
The Marlins offense has struggled most of the season and on Monday they failed to score any runs. The team finished with eight hits, but they couldn’t cross the plate once. The Marlins are averaging 3.69 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.34 runs per game. The offense is ranked 25th in the league while the pitching is ranked 27th. The pitching hasn’t been great but they are going to need to find a way to get the offense going here. The run differential is -1.65 which is 28th in the league. Getting the start for the Marlins will be Trevor Rogers who sits with an 0-2 record and an ERA of 3.92. In his last start against the San Francisco Giants, he went 5.2 innings giving up four hits and one run. In 20.2 innings he has given up 24 hits and 19 earned runs. Third baseman Jake Burger is still dealing with an oblique injury and is out until early May.
Braves Leaned on Pitching
Atlanta leaned on the pitching on Monday and they were able to secure the 3-0 victory. Bryce Elder went 6.2 innings giving up eight hits and zero runs. The Braves are averaging 6.25 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.5 runs per game. The offense is ranked 1st in the league while the pitching is ranked 16th. They have leaned on the offense all season and they are going to look for another strong offensive game here. This is a team that is averaging over 10 hits per game and they should have a ton of confidence about the offense here. Marcell Ozuna has hit nine home runs and driven in 27 RBIs. Marcell Ozuna has hit nine home runs and driven in 27 RBIs. Max Fried gets the start for the Braves and coming into this game he sits with a 1-0 record and an ERA of 7.71. In his last start against the Braves he went five innings giving up seven hits and three runs. In his first start of the season against the Diamondbacks he went 4.1 innings giving up 10 hits and seven runs.
Atlanta Braves Team Facts
- The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Braves have led after 7 innings in each of their last nine Tuesday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine Tuesday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins Team Facts
- The Marlins have lost each of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four road games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 10 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction
The Marlins haven’t had many wins this season, but this is a game where they can win. Fried has had issues this season sitting with an ERA of 7.71 and he’s going to be a major problem here. Trevor Rogers has been a bright spot for the Marlins and he sits with an ERA of 3.92. Even against a good offense, Rogers is going to have a good start and that will be the difference here as the Marlins are going to get the job done. Back the Marlins on the money line to cash here.