Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5-18-24 Picks

The San Diego Padres and the Atlanta Braves meet Saturday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres prediction. This will be the second installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

This week the Padres played the Colorado Rockies. San Diego didn’t do very well in that series, posting losses 5-4, 6-3 and 8-0 for a three-game sweep. On Friday in the opener versus the Braves, the Padres powered out a 3-1 win. Starting pitcher Matt Waldron finished with 5.2 innings, one earned, five hits, two walks and 10 Ks.

In the starter slot for the Saturday matchup the Braves will send out Yu Darvish. This year Darvish is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA in eight starts. He’s struck out 37 batters on 40.2 innings. Darvish is 106-86 with a 3.56 ERA in 274 career starts.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Over on the Atlanta side, they played the Chicago Cubs this week. The Braves posted shutout wins 2-0 and 7-0 in the first two games of that series, but then lost Wednesday 7-1. In the Friday matchup the Braves gave up 13 hits in the defeat. Max Fried went 4.1 innings in the start with three earned on nine hits and three walks.

It’ll be Bryce Elder on the mound for the Atlanta start on Saturday. So far this season Elder is 1-1 with a 4.79 ERA in four games. He’s managed 16 strikeouts in 20.2 innings. Elder is 15-9 with a 3.75 ERA in 45 career games (44 starts).

Padres vs Braves Injury Notes

Padres SP Joe Musgrove (elbow) could make his return from the 15-day Injured List on Sunday.
Braves catcher Sean Murphy (oblique) will begin a rehab assignment next week.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last 12 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Padres’ last four games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last three games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last four home games against NL West opponents.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 13 home games against NL opponents.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves’ last 13 home games against NL opponents.
• Marcell Ozuna has scored at least one run in seven of the Braves’ last eight games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Harris has hit a home run in two of the Braves’ last three home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last nine games as favorites against NL opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against the Braves.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 17 appearances against the Braves.
• Yu Darvish has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 20 Saturday appearances.
• Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last four games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
• Jurickson Profar has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last eight road games against NL opponents.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Jurickson Profar has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last four games as road underdogs.
• Yu Darvish has recorded a win in five of his six previous appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction

I’ll try the Padres here. San Diego should be in good hands while Darvish is out there. Over his last three starts Darvish is 3-0 with no earned runs on eight hits and two walks in 17.0 combined innings. As for Elder, he gave up seven in 3.1 innings versus the Dodgers on May 4, but then came back with two earned in 5.1 innings during his last outing.

On Friday the Padres had a great offensive effort with 13 team hits but could only score in one inning. I’d like to see a more well-rounded effort Saturday but San Diego should have a decent shot at keeping it going.