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Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 6-16-24 Picks

Tampa Bay Rays (33-38) vs. Atlanta Braves (38-30)
June 16, 2024 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -115 / Tampa Bay Rays +105; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Rays and Atlanta Braves meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Truist Park. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 33-38 on the year and play the Twins and Pirates next. The Tampa Bay Rays have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 4 straight games. The Tampa Bay Rays have lost 7 of their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 72 hits and 30 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Amed Rosario have combined for 129 hits and 61 RBI.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 38-30 on the year and play the Tigers and Yankees next. The Atlanta Braves have scored 22 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Atlanta Braves have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 83 hits and 62 RBI while Michael Harris II and Ozzie Albies have combined for 129 hits and 52 RBI.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Zach Eflin gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 3-4 with a 4.06 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. Eflin has allowed 10 hits and 4 runs in his last 9.2 innings. Eflin has a 5.02 ERA and .290 allowed batting average in 37.2 road innings. Eflin is 7-3 with a 3.14 ERA and 73 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Hurston Waldrep gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 0-1 with a 17.18 ERA and 1 strikeout this season. Waldrep has allowed 4 hits and 7 runs through 3.2 innings. This will be Waldrep’s second career MLB start. This will be Waldrep’s first career game against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Rays have won each of their last eight Sunday games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a home win.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight Sunday road games against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 Sunday home games against American League opponents.
  • The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last six games as favorites.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves’ last three home games against AL East opponents.
  • Austin Riley has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last four home games against AL East opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 home games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Randy Arozarena has hit a home run in three of the Rays’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Rays as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded an RBI in each of his last six road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Zach Eflin has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays’ last nine games.
  • Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 road appearances.

Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Atlanta Braves are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re the better team and at home. The Rays have also been hit or miss all year and underachieved to a point. However, the Rays have the more trustworthy pitcher on the mound in Zach Eflin. Hurston Waldrep is making his second career start, and he wasn’t great in his MLB debut. I’m not trying to get behind Waldrep. Give me the Rays and the better price given the pitching situation. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +105

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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