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Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5-11-24 Picks

Arizona Diamondbacks (18-20) vs. Baltimore Orioles (24-12)
May 11, 2024 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -156 / Arizona Diamondbacks +131; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction for this MLB showdown on Saturday, May 11th at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. 

Diamondbacks Offense Looks to be Better

The Diamondbacks offense only scored two runs on Friday and that type of offense isn’t good enough. Ketel Marte did hit a home run, but that was the only real bright spot. The Diamondbacks are averaging 5.0 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.66 runs per game. The offense is ranked 6th in the league while the pitching is ranked 21st. They have a run differential of 0.342 which is 13th. Christian Walker has hit seven home runs and driven in 26 RBIs. Ryne Nelson sits with a 2-2 record and an ERA of 5.23. In his last start against the San Diego Padres, he went five innings giving up eight hits and four runs. 

Solid Season for Orioles So Far

It has been a solid season for the Orioles so far, and they gave up only two runs on Friday. Ryan O’Hearn finished with two walks, one RBI, and one hit. The Orioles are averaging 5.19 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.72 runs per game. The offense is ranked 2nd in the league while the pitching is ranked 7th. They currently have a run differential of 1.42 which is second in the league. Getting the start for the Orioles will be John Means who sits with a 1-0 record and an ERA of 0.00. Against the Cincinnati Reds in his first start of the season, he went seven innings giving up three hits and zero runs. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Orioles have won seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games.
  • The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Orioles have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games as road underdogs following a loss.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against NL West opponents following a home win.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in five of the Orioles’ last six games.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

The Orioles are the better team on paper, and they are going to have little issue getting the job done here. Means in his last start gave up zero runs, and he’s going to dominate in this game. The Diamondbacks are going to struggle to get even two runs, and that is going to be the difference here. The Diamondbacks don’t have much of a shot to keep this game close. Back the Orioles on the money line. This is one of the top plays on the board for Saturday. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Orioles ML

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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