San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers Prediction 5-11-24 Picks

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres meet Saturday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will start James Paxton here and Paxton is 4-0 with a 3.06 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Padres, Paxton is 2-1 with a 2.55 ERA and 25 strikeouts. Matt Waldron will get the start for the Padres and is 1-4 with a 5.82 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. This will be Waldron’s second career start against the Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this one looking to bounce back from a 2-1 loss to the Padres in Friday’s series opener, Snapping their seven-game win streak after sweeps of Miami and Atlanta over the last week. Dodgers Still Own One Of Baseball’s Most Potent Lineups Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 56 hits including a team-high 11 home runs, 15 doubles and 27 RBIs with a .359 batting average while Mookie Betts has 54 hits with 10 doubles, 2 triples, 6 homers and 27 RBIs of his own. Teoscar Hernandez also has 10 home runs with 29 RBIs and a team-high 49 strikeouts. Betts also has 8 stolen bases while Ohtani has a team-high 9 stolen bases.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to build on their series- opening win over the Dodgers. The win for San Diego was another step in the right direction, getting back to .500 after consecutive series wins over the Cubs, Diamondbacks and Reds over the last week and a half.

Padres Starting To Heat Up At The Plate

Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 44 hits along with a .324 batting average and 8 doubles with 6 homers and 27 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 26 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 7 home runs this season. Manny Machado has 5 home runs and 22 RBIs but also has 36 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 30 hits with 2 triples, 4 doubles, 5 home runs, 21 RBIs and a team-high 8 stolen bases. Tatis Jr. also has a team-high 40 strikeouts and 6 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The home team has won each of the Dodgers’ last seven games.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last four Saturday night games as road favorites against National League opponents.
• The Padres have covered the run line each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Padres have lost each of their last four night games at Petco Park following a home win.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine Saturday games against the Padres.

San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers Prediction

I’m on the over here. The Padres are playing very well right now, and are more than capable of getting to a pitcher like Paxton. Paxton struggled with walks this season, allowing 24 walks compared to his 18 strikeouts and with bats like Tatis Jr., Machado and others, they’re capable of making Paxton pay for any mistakes he may have. On the other side, Matt Waldron has been one of the weak links in San Diego’s rotation, and the Dodgers as previously mentioned have a really strong lineup and can hit Waldron hard.