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Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 5-27-24 Picks

Boston Red Sox (27-26) vs. Baltimore Orioles (33-18)
May 27, 2024 1:05 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -150 / Boston Red Sox +138; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles meet Monday in MLB game 1 action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 27-26 on the year after recent wins over the Rays and Brewers. The Boston Red Sox have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Boston Red Sox have lost 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 59 hits and 22 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Connor Wong have combined for 86 hits and 42 RBI.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 33-18 on the season and just swept the Chicago White Sox. The Baltimore Orioles have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 straight games. The Baltimore Orioles have won 6 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Adley Rutschman leads the Baltimore Orioles with 61 hits and 35 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Jordan Westburg have combined for 104 hits and 68 RBI.

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Cooper Criswell gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 2-1 with a 2.86 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. Criswell has allowed 18 hits and 8 earned runs in his last 18.1 innings. Criswell has a 1.84 ERA and .255 allowed batting average in 14.2 road innings. This will be Criswell’s first career game against the Baltimore Orioles.

Cole Irvin gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 4-2 with a 3.15 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. Irvin has allowed 14 hits and 5 earned runs in his last 17.1 innings. Irvin has a 2.96 ERA and .250 allowed batting average in 24.1 home innings. Irvin is 0-1 with a 5.16 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Red Sox have won each of their last seven road games following a home win.
  • The Orioles have lost each of their last six day games against the Red Sox following a win.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against American League opponents following a road win.
  • The road team has covered the run line in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Monday day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Jorge Mateo has scored a run in each of the Orioles’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Monday appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded a Double in three of the Orioles’ last four games against AL opponents.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Orioles’ last six day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cole Irvin has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances.
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Rafael Devers has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last six road games.
  • Trevor Story has recorded a hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last three road games against the Orioles.
  • Connor Wong has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Baltimore Orioles are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’ve been the better team this season, and they’re at home. However, the Boston Red Sox have shown flashes here and there lately, and you can argue Cooper Criswell has been slightly better this season than Cole Irvin. Criswell has also shined on the road this season with an ERA under 2. Early start for two teams that are traveling after Sunday’s games. I still like the value of the Red Sox and the plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Boston Red Sox +138

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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