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Baltimore Orioles vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 9-18-24 MLB Picks

San Francisco Giants (73-78) vs. Baltimore Orioles (84-67)
September 18, 2024 6:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -167 / San Francisco Giants +141; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs San Francisco Giants prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 18th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 84-67 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Baltimore lost the first game in this series and they allowed 10 runs in the game. Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Tigers, lost two out of three against the Red Sox, and lost two out of three against the Rays. Baltimore is 3-8 in their last 11 games and they are second in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Orioles’ offense has scored 727 runs with a .248 batting average and a .314 on-base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .280 with 37 home runs and 87 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. 

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 73-78 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. San Francisco won game one in this series by a score of 10-0. Prior to this series, the Giants lost all three against the Padres, lost two out of three against the Brewers, and won two out of three against the Padres. San Francisco is 4-6 in their last 10 games and they are fourth in the NL West. 

The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Giants’ offense has scored 643 runs with a .238 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Matt Chapman is batting .247 with 24 home runs and 73 RBI’s for the Giants this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Hayden Birdsong, who is 3-5 with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 57.0 innings pitched this year. Birdsong has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts but doesn’t pitch very deep into games. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 7-9 with a 4.10 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 118.2 innings pitched this season. Kremer has allowed a total of one earned run in his last two starts (13.0 IP). 

Why the Orioles will beat the Giants

  • The Giants have lost each of their last seven road games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The favorites have won each of the Giants’ last seven games.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against NL West opponents following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Orioles’ last six home games against NL West opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Giants’ last seven games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total run line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last five games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in two of the Orioles’ last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Anthony Santander has scored at least one run in eight of the Orioles’ last nine games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Ryan O’Hearn has recorded a Single in nine of the Orioles’ last 10 games as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Ryan O’Hearn has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Jordan Westburg has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Jordan Westburg has recorded a Double in five of his last six home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jordan Westburg has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Patrick Bailey has recorded at least one Double in three of his four previous appearances with the Giants as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Heliot Ramos has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Giants’ last five games against AL East opponents.
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has recorded at least one Single in each of the Giants’ last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Mark Canha has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Mark Canha has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Mark Canha has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Casey Schmitt has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this matchup really struggling and they were blown out in game one of this series. The Orioles are 42-34 at home this season, while the Giants are just 32-41 on the road. San Francisco came into this series after getting shutout in three of their last four games, but they put up 10 runs on Tuesday night. I know Baltimore is going through it right now, but they have a big advantage with Kremer on the mound and I expect them to win by multiple runs. Take the Orioles -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Orioles -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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