Toronto Blue Jays (19-22) vs. Baltimore Orioles (26-14)
May 14, 2024 6:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -155 / Toronto Blue Jays +135; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 14th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Orioles Trying to Avoid Three Straight Losses
The Baltimore Orioles are 26-14 this season and they have lost two games in a row. Baltimore lost the first game in this series on Monday night and they are looking for their offense to return. Prior to this series, the Orioles won two out of three against Arizona, split a two game set with Washington, and swept Cincinnati in three games. Despite the struggles in their last two games, Baltimore has been one of the best teams this season and they are currently tied for first in the AL East with the Yankees.
The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.30 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, and a .219 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 200 runs with a .243 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .264 with 12 home runs and 27 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore is fifth in team ERA and they have allowed three runs or fewer in 10 of their last 13 games.
Blue Jays Pushing for Two in a Row
The Toronto Blue Jays are 19-22 this season and they have alternated wins and losses over their last six games. Toronto won the first game in this series by a score of 3-2 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against Minnesota, split a two game set with Philadelphia, and lost two out of three against Washington. Toronto has won two games in a row just once over their last 20 games and they are currently last in the AL East behind the Orioles, Yankees, Red Sox, and Rays.
The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 150 runs with a .231 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .276 with four home runs and 19 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto is 28th in runs scored this season and they have scored three runs or fewer in seven of their last eleven games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 3-5 with a 5.06 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 42.2 innings pitched this season. Bassitt has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow seven earned runs and nine hits against the Dodgers three starts ago. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Bradish, who is 0-0 with a 1.86 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 9.2 innings pitched this year. Bradish has allowed two earned runs and eight hits over 9.2 innings in two starts this season.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last nine games against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Orioles have won nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents after going to extra innings.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Adley Rutschman has hit at least one home run in each of the Orioles’ last three games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
- Anthony Santander has scored at least one run in six of the Orioles’ last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Bradish has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- James McCann has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Bradish has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Austin Hays has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Blue Jays.
- Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Orioles’ last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Gunnar Henderson ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two games as underdogs against the Orioles.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances after playing the previous day.
- George Springer has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Danny Jansen has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances.
- Danny Jansen has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (62).
- The Baltimore Orioles rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.438).
- The Toronto Blue Jays rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (150).
- The Toronto Blue Jays rank 28th in the league for RBI’s this season (140).
Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Baltimore has been one of the top teams in the MLB so far this season, but they have lost two games in a row. The Orioles are 14-9 at home this year, while Toronto is 10-13 on the road. The Blue Jays have not been able to string many wins together so far this season and they will turn to Chris Bassitt, who does not have very good numbers this year. The Orioles will start Kyle Bradish, who has only made two starts so far this season. Toronto has really had trouble winning more than one game at a time and I can’t take them to win a second game in a row here. I think Bradish has another solid outing and my Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction is for Baltimore to win by at least two runs.
