NY Yankees (27-15) vs. Minnesota Twins (24-16)
May 14, 2024 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins +115 / NY Yankees -135; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs NY Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 14th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Minnesota is Charging in the AL Central
The Minnesota Twins are 24-16 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Minnesota is coming off of a series win against Toronto, where they won two out of three games and scored 16 runs. Prior to that series, the Twins won three out of four games against Seattle, won two out of three against Boston, and swept the White Sox in three games. Minnesota has won 17 of their last 20 games, which has moved them into second in the AL Central, just one game behind Cleveland for first.
The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 195 runs with a .240 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .212 with seven home runs and 21 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota is 11th in runs scored this season and they have scored at least five runs in five of their last six games.
Yankees are Tied for First in the AL East
The New York Yankees are 27-15 this year and they have won seven of their last nine games. New York is coming off of a series win against Tampa Bay, where they won two out of three games and scored 14 runs. Prior to that series, the Yankees won two out of three against Houston, swept the Tigers in three games, and lost three out of four against Baltimore. New York has done a very good job of not losing back to back games too many times this season and they are tied for first in the AL East with Baltimore.
The New York pitching staff has a 3.10 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .219 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 202 runs with a .249 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Aaron Judge is batting .235 with 10 home runs and 27 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York is second in the MLB in team ERA and they have allowed three runs or fewer in seven of their last 13 games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Chris Paddack, who is 4-1 with a 4.34 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 37.1 innings pitched this year. Paddack has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts and has been very good at home. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who is 3-2 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 43.0 innings pitched this season. Rodon has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but did allow six earned runs to Baltimore two starts ago.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won each of their last seven night games following a road win.
- The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against American League opponents following a win.
- The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road win.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last three games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances.
- Max Kepler has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances against AL opponents.
- Chris Paddack has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances.
- Max Kepler has recorded at least one Double in four of the Twins’ last five home games against AL opponents.
- Carlos Santana has scored at least one run in each of the Twins’ last four games.
- Carlos Santana has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last three games against AL East opponents.
- Jose Miranda has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Twins as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last five games as favorites.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees’ last 11 Tuesday games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against the Twins .
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one Double in three of the Yankees’ last four games at Target Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven appearances with the Yankees as favorites against the Twins.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against AL Central opponents.
- DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
- Juan Soto ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.414) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (84).
- The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (399).
- The New York Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (57).
- The New York Yankees rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (53).
Minnesota Twins vs NY Yankees Prediction
Minnesota comes into this series as one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last few weeks, while New York has one of the best records this year. The Twins are 11-8 at home, while New York is 14-9 on the road. The Yankees have the second best pitching staff according to team ERA and they are going with Carlos Rodon, who has been solid this year. Minnesota is going with Chris Paddack, who has had some struggles, but has had three great home outings in a row. I really like how Paddack has pitched recently and my Minnesota Twins vs NY Yankees prediction is for the Twins to win game one.
