Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction 3/31/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Monday, March 31st at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 2-2 this year after they split a four-game series with the Orioles to start the season. Toronto won games two and four by scores of 8-2 and 3-1, while they lost games one and three by scores of 12-2 and 9-5. In game four, the Blue Jays fell behind 1-0 in the first inning, but they scored two runs in the bottom of the first inning and added an insurance run in the seventh. Toronto recorded seven hits in the game and was led by Springer, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. The Blue Jays started Chris Bassitt, who allowed one earned run and eight hits over 6.0 innings for the win. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 6.00 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .273 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 18 runs with a .258 batting average and a .333 on-base percentage this year. Andres Gimenez has led Toronto with two home runs and four RBIs, while Clement, Guerrero, and Springer all have two RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Bowden Francis, who went 8-5 with a 3.30 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 103.2 innings pitched last year. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 1-2 this season after they lost two out of three against the Phillies to open the year. Washington lost games one and two by scores of 7-3 and 11-6 but won game three by a score of 5-1 on Sunday. In game three, the Nationals scored three runs in the fourth on a homer from Bell and added two more in the sixth on a homer from Lowe. Washington recorded nine hits and committed one error in the game, while Bell and Lowe combined for five RBIs. The Nationals started Parker, who allowed seven hits and zero earned runs over 6.1 innings for the win. 

The Washington pitching staff has a 5.79 ERA with a 1.71 WHIP and a .275 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 14 runs with a .252 batting average and a .313 on-base percentage this season. Nathaniel Lowe has led Washington with two home runs and five RBIs, while Keibert Ruiz has added two home runs and three RBIs on the year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Michael Soroka, who went 0-10 with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 79.2 innings for the White Sox in 2024. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Nationals

• The Nationals have lost each of their last eight Monday games.
• The home team has won six of the last eight games between the Nationals and Blue Jays.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Nationals.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against the Nationals.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the last eight games between the Nationals and Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Nationals’ last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Ernie Clement has hit a home run in each of his last five appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances against the Nationals.
• Ernie Clement has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Anthony Santander has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 15 night games.
• Myles Straw has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bo Bichette ranks T1st in the league in Hits (7) this season.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Nathaniel Lowe has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances.
• Nathaniel Lowe has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
• Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
• Josh Bell has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against AL opponents.
• Michael Soroka has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances against AL opponents.
• Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.
• Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.
• Keibert Ruiz ranks T4th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.500) this season.

Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction 

Toronto was able to escape their series with a split against the Orioles, which has to be considered a win after how last season ended. The Blue Jays were very up and down with their pitching staff in that series, but they have scored 16 runs in their last three games. Washington was able to avoid the sweep with a win on Sunday, but they were fortunate that the Phillies left 10 runners on base. I have very little confidence in Soroka after watching him last season, while Francis could have a huge year for Toronto. Take the Jays here.