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Blue Jays vs Rockies Prediction 8/4/25 MLB Picks Today

Blue Jays vs Rockies
August 4, 2025 8:40 pm EDT
The Line: Blue Jays -205 / Rockies +170 / Over/Under: 11.5
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In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Rockies Prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 4th at the Coors Field in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Colorado Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies have a 30-81 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the NL West. The Rockies have a 16-39 home record and are 47-60 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-9 home defeat by the Pirates, which ended their previous two-game winning streak. Over is 7-2 in their last 9 games and are playing the Diamondbacks and the Cardinals next.

The Rockies have a .237 batting average this season, .296 OBP and .396 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 5.76 ERA and 1.59 WHIP. Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 103 hits, adding a team-high 62 RBI, and 21 home runs. Jordan Beck is the team’s best hitter with a .279 batting average.

Tanner Gordon (R) will take the mound for the Rockies, and he has a 2-3 record, 4.85 ERA and 1.54 WHIP.

Toronto Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 65-48 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL East. They have a 27-29 road record, and are 61-49 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-7 home defeat by the Royals, and are 2-6 in their last 8 games. Over is 6-2 in their last 8 games and are playing the Dodgers and the Cubs next.

The Blue Jays have a .264 batting average this season, .334 OBP and .413 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Blue Jays with 138 hits, adding a team-high 68 RBI. Alejandro Kirk is the team’s best hitter with a .301 batting average, while George Springer adds a team-high 18 home runs.

Eric Lauer (L) will take the mound for the Blue Jays, and he has a 6-2 record, 2.68 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Rockies have won five of their last six games as home underdogs following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games at Coors Field.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last six night games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Rockies have lost nine of their last 10 night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games following a home loss.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games.
  • The Rockies have lost the first inning in each of their last five games.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Rockies’ last five night games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as road favorites.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last nine night games between the Blue Jays and Rockies.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rockies rank 1st in the league for triples this season (29).
  • The Rockies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.296).
  • The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1012).
  • The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.264).

Blue Jays vs Rockies Prediction

The Blue Jays are 3-1 in their last 4 overall meetings against the Rockies, but the Rockies are 4-2 their last 6 meetings in Colorado. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Blue Jays vs Rockies Prediction, the Blue Jays are coming as -210 road favorites. The Jays are rightfully favored, as they are the best team in the AL East, facing the team with the worst record in the whole league. Lauer has been excellent this season for the Jays and he is coming into this matchup in very good form, having a 2.79 ERA across his last five starts. The Jays also have a superior bullpen and a better offense, while the Rockies are weaker against left-handed pitching. I expect a comfortable win by the guests in this one, so take the Toronto Blue Jays on the runline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5

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